Match Info

MEXICO: Liga Premier Serie A - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Petroleros Salamanca		Deportiva Venados

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.6
	1.62	3.6	4.8
	1.66	3.65	4.92
	1.63	3.63	5.07	Watch
	1.61	3.58	5.02	Watch
	1.62	3.6	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	3.59 ↓ (3.9)	4.87 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petroleros Salamanca
56%

Draw
25.3%

Deportiva Venados
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petroleros Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Deportiva Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petroleros Salamanca than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petroleros Salamanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportiva Venados than the current prediction. (-1%)

Petroleros Salamanca - Deportiva Venados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Topete J. ⚽,
45', 3 - 1, Vazquez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
50', 4 - 1, Nunez D. ⚽,
54', 4 - 2, ⚽,
77', 5 - 2, Torres E. ⚽,
79', 5 - 3, ⚽,
83', 5 - 4, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petroleros Salamanca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.11.24	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Petroleros Salamanca	0:3 ✺
09.11.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:2 penalties ✺
06.11.24	Petroleros Salamanca - La Piedad	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Lobos ULMX - Petroleros Salamanca	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Irapuato	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW
- Deportiva Venados
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.11.24	Deportiva Venados - Irapuato	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Deportiva Venados - Faraones de Texcoco	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
21.10.24	Racing de Veracruz - Deportiva Venados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.05.24	Deportiva Venados - Petroleros Salamanca	3:0
01.05.24	Petroleros Salamanca - Deportiva Venados	1:0
09.03.24	Deportiva Venados - Petroleros Salamanca	2:1
07.10.23	Petroleros Salamanca - Deportiva Venados	5:0

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