Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 7

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Paulo Coelho (Petrolina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Petrolina		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	6	3.4	1.52
	6	3.4	1.54
	7.07	3.58	1.54
	6.74	3.48	1.53
	6	3.5	1.5
	6.83	3.5	1.5
	5.6	3.35	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↑ (5.68)	3.46 ↑ (3.32)	1.53 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petrolina
14.4%

Draw
26.2%

Retrô Brasil
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

27.3%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

26.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petrolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petrolina than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Petrolina - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andre Lucas (G) 22. Augusto 4. Caio Bacarin 13. Daniel Oliveira 5. Gavioli I. 15. Joao Neto 16. Nildo Petrolina 14. Piaui 11. Tiaguinho 10. Valdeir 9. Yonder Vargas	12. Fabian Volpi (G) 7. Fabinho 11. Felipe Augusto 10. Fernandinho 2. Gedeilson 6. Gustavo Salomao 26. Jonathan 9. Mascote 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 15. Walce

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Vitinho Pires 🟨,
37', Felipe Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Yonder Vargas ↓, Ramos V. ↑,
65', Mascote ↓, Junior Fialho ↑,
66', Gedeilson ↓, Savio ↑,
67', Nildo Petrolina ↓, Igor Tavares ↑,
67', Vitinho Pires ↓, Valdeir ↑,
75', Radsley ↓, Lucas Grafite ↑,
75', Felipe Augusto ↓, Diego Guerra ↑,
75', Gustavo Salomao 🟨,
77', Alvaro Vieira ↓, Ze Felipe ↑,
82', Igor Tavares 🟨,
84', 0 - 1, Junior Fialho ⚽,
85', Fernandinho ↓, Franco R. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Petrolina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Retrô is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Retrô could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Retrô is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Petrolina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Petrolina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petrolina SFC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.02.25	Petrolina - Central SC	0:0 ✺
30.01.25	Decisão - Petrolina	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Petrolina	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	Petrolina - Maguary	0:1 ✺
16.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLTLL
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
02.02.25	Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
15.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Afogados da Ingazeira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.06.24	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	1:0
25.05.24	Petrolina - Retrô Brasil	3:1
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
21.01.24	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	0:1
04.03.23	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	0:0
19.07.20	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	5:0

Petrolina - Retrô Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide