Match Info

Pernambucano - Round 5

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Pernambuco (São Lourenço da Mata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Retrô Brasil		Jaguar

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.25	7.3
	1.38	4.21	7.63
	1.35	4.15	8.35
	1.41	4.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	4.24 ↑ (4.02)	7.82 ↑ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Retrô Brasil
66.5%

Draw
21.7%

Jaguar
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.9%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jaguar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Retrô Brasil - Jaguar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Ricardo (G) 20. Bruno Henrique 3. Dankler (C) 2. David Junio 17. Diego Guerra 11. Douglas 18. Lucas Sampaio 7. Luiz Henrique 8. Radsley 4. Rayan Ribeiro 9. Vagner Love	1. Igor (G) 18. Edson Silva 11. Erik 13. Gil Mineiro 16. Guilherme 17. Jailton 10. Lele 2. Medina 6. Nilson 15. Paulo Miranda 8. Ruan Pablo
Substitutes
22. Bruno Marques 30. Cacau 16. Danillo 25. Ericson 23. Fabricio Pereira 21. Guilherme 28. Gustavo 27. Iury 12. Jefferson Paulino (G) 14. Joao Rafael 19. Lira W. 15. Wesley Junio	5. Anderson Sao Joao 3. Cruz R. 21. Gabriel Dinamite 14. Jackson 26. Jefferson Recife 25. Juba V. 12. Juca (G) 20. Juninho 7. Leilson 28. Oliveira F. 27. Ricardinho 9. Wallace

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Vagner Love ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Edson Silva ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vagner Love ↓, Lira W. ↑,
46', Douglas ↓, Ericson ↑,
46', David Junio ↓, Iury ↑,
46', Lele ↓, Juninho ↑,
68', Ruan Pablo ↓, Juba V. ↑,
69', Guilherme ↓, Jefferson Recife ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

Jaguar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Retrô may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Retrô is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Retrô won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
21.01.26	Retrô Brasil - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Maguary - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Sport Recife - Retrô Brasil	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Retrô Brasil - Vitória das Tabocas	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
30.08.25	Confiança - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLWL
- AD Jaguar
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.01.26	Jaguar - Náutico Capibaribe	0:4 ✺
17.01.26	Decisão - Jaguar	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Vitória das Tabocas - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Jaguar - Sport Recife	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Serra Branca - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
25.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Jaguar	1:1

Retrô Brasil - Jaguar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide