The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 54.6%
Draw 25.6%
Santa Cruz Recife 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
28.3%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
27.6%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sport Recife's performance.
Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Sport Recife - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Halls (G) 68. Augusto 30. Chrystian Barletta 60. Felipinho 9. Gustavo Coutinho 11. Gustavo Maia 3. Marcelo Ajul 31. Marlon Douglas 40. Ramon Menezes (C) 7. Yago Felipe 23. Ze Gabriel
12. Rokenedy (G) 26. Alex Ruan 3. Eurico (C) 14. Israel 13. Matheus Vinicius 20. Patrick Allan 15. Pedro Favela 9. Quirino 18. Vitinho 8. Wagner Balotelli 10. Willian Junior
Substitutes
42. Adriano Sousa (G) 5. Benevenuto 29. Davi Gabriel 65. Dede 10. de Pena C. 67. Felipinho 54. Gomes do Nascimento A. 2. Matheus Alexandre 8. Max Alves 77. Micael 48. Pedro Martins 99. Ze Roberto
5. Andrey 21. Fabiel L. 1. Felipe Alves (G) 17. Gabriel Galhardo 22. Harley 4. Ianson 16. Matheus Castilho 11. Matheus Regis 2. Pedro Costa 7. Robinho 6. Rodrigues 19. Vini Hora
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
36', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽,
38', Yago Felipe 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Eurico ⚽,
45', Eurico ↓, Ianson ↑,
45', Marlon Douglas ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
45+11', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Quirino 🟨,
67', Yago Felipe ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
68', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
71', Vitinho ↓, Pedro Costa ↑,
75', Rokenedy 🟨,
78', Ze Roberto 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 3.
Recife is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Santa Cruz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Recife is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Recife won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
Brazil
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Halls (G) 
de Pena C. 
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