Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 1

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Petrolina

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.5	10
	1.26	4.5	8.2
	1.28	4.64	11.32	Watch
	1.27	4.5	10
	1.25	4.85	10.7
	1.26	4.5	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)	4.58 ↓ (4.68)	9.74 ↑ (9.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
71.1%

Draw
19.6%

Petrolina
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

19.1%

9.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Petrolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Náutico Capibaribe - Petrolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Douglas Borges (G) 2. Arnaldo 80. Bruno Mezenga (C) 12. Leo Coltro 6. Luiz Paulo 8. Marco Antonio 34. Otusanya O. 20. Patrick Allan 3. Rayan 29. Renato Alves 25. Sousa	1. Andre Lucas (G) 7. Alvaro Vieira 3. Augusto 4. Daniel Oliveira 5. Gavioli I. 19. Kiko 6. Neto 16. Nildo Petrolina (C) 11. Tiaguinho 10. Valdeir 9. Yonder Vargas
Substitutes
35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 21. Felipe Redaelli 16. Felipe Santana 10. Geovane 7. Helio Borges 23. Igor Fernandes 5. Igor Pereira 27. Kauan Maranhao 15. Kayon 17. Marcos Ytalo 14. Odivan 1. Wellerson R. (G)	13. Caio Bacarin 21. Gleydson 20. Igor Tavares 15. Joao Neto 8. Juan Cassio 2. Marquinhos 23. Mateus Sales (G) 17. Ramos V. 22. Vinicius 18. Vitinho Pires

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Nildo Petrolina ↓, Juan Cassio ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Yonder Vargas ⚽,
27', Renato Alves ↓, Geovane ↑,
34', Alvaro Vieira 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gavioli I. ↓, Ramos V. ↑,
46', Alvaro Vieira ↓, Vinicius ↑,
54', Daniel Oliveira 🟨,
60', Leo Coltro 🟨,
61', Arnaldo ↓, Marcos Ytalo ↑,
61', Marco Antonio ↓, Helio Borges ↑,
66', Daniel Oliveira ↓, Caio Bacarin ↑,
69', Yonder Vargas 🟨,
77', Patrick Allan ↓, Kauan Maranhao ↑,
78', Luiz Paulo ↓, Kayon ↑,
81', 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Kauan Maranhao ⚽,
88', Neto 🟨,

Preview

Petrolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Náutico is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 2.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Club Friendly
29.12.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Campinense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
24.08.24	Londrina - Náutico Capibaribe	3:2 ✺
17.08.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Ferroviário Fortaleza	4:1 ✺
11.08.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	2:0 ✺
04.08.24	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWWT
- Petrolina SFC
Brazilian Serie D
21.07.24	Jacuipense - Petrolina	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Petrolina - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:3 ✺
07.07.24	Itabaiana - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Petrolina - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Retrô Brasil - Petrolina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
31.01.24	Náutico Capibaribe - Petrolina	1:0
01.04.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Petrolina	1:0
26.01.20	Petrolina - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1
30.01.19	Náutico Capibaribe - Petrolina	5:0

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