Match Info

Date: 22 January 2022, Saturday


	Pevidem		Fafe

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.25	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	2.85	3.05	2.29
	2.99	3.17	2.41
	2.88	3.16	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.17)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	2.31 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
30.5%

Draw
30%

Fafe
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

31.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

23%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pevidem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fafe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pevidem - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Fafe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pevidem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Portuguese Liga 3
16.01.22	São João de Ver - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
18.12.21	Sanjoanense - Pevidem	2:0 ✺
12.12.21	Pevidem - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Pevidem - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:4 ✺
04.12.21	Oliveirense - Pevidem	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLTLL
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
07.01.22	Canelas - Fafe	3:2 ✺
17.12.21	Braga B - Fafe	1:2 ✺
11.12.21	Fafe - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
08.12.21	Fafe - Anadia	1:3 ✺
05.12.21	Sanjoanense - Fafe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
02.10.21	Fafe - Pevidem	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.01.21	Pevidem - Fafe	1:0
18.10.20	Fafe - Pevidem	2:1

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