Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio 1.º de Maio (Braga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Braga B		Fafe

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.98	3.35	3.2
	2.05	3.77	3.25
	1.75	4.3	3.78	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.2
	2.03	3.64	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	3.39 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braga B
47.6%

Draw
25.3%

Fafe
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

25.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braga B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Braga B - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Carvalho J. (G) 82. Costa G. 62. Matos N. 81. Pascoal F. 79. Furtado R. 47. Araujo M. 80. Vasconcelos 89. Duarte A. 60. Lomba J. 11. Merheg S. J. 95. Vidigal S.	22. Manu (G) 13. Vigario J. 4. Teixeira L. 5. Ze Oliveira 85. Castro D. 20. Amorim J. 35. Cardoso F. (C) 60. Ribeiro Oliveira J. 7. Veiga T. 11. Picas 9. Santos J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Duarte A. 🟨,
35', Duarte A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ze Oliveira ↓, Batista J. ↑,
48', Amorim J. 🟨,
56', Amorim J. ↓, Teixeira T. ↑,
56', Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↓, Braga V. ↑,
64', Lomba J. ↓, Ferreira T. ↑,
64', Furtado R. ↓, Costa F. ↑,
68', Cardoso F. 🟨,
70', Merheg S. J. ↓, Said Y. ↑,
70', Veiga T. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
72', Cardoso F. 🟨,
81', Araujo M. ↓, Marques T. ↑,
81', Santos J. ↓, Fonseca T. ↑,
90+2', Ferreira T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 2.

Braga B is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Fafe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Braga B is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Braga B won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Braga B won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
26.04.26	Marco 09 - Braga B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Braga B - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Paredes - Braga B	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Braga B - São João de Ver	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sanjoanense - Braga B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
28.04.26	Fafe - São João de Ver	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.04.26	Torreense - Fafe	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
18.04.26	Marco 09 - Fafe	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sanjoanense - Fafe	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Fafe - Paredes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
15.02.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:1
25.01.26	Fafe - Braga B	2:2
01.11.25	Braga B - Fafe	1:0
05.01.25	Fafe - Braga B	1:0
14.09.24	Braga B - Fafe	2:0
19.01.24	Braga B - Fafe	0:0
08.10.23	Fafe - Braga B	0:0

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