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Current Win Probability
Fafe 27.5%
Draw 29.3%
São João de Ver 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
26%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
26.8%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fafe's form might have worsened.
São João de Ver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São João de Ver's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+23.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fafe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-19.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São João de Ver, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Fafe - São João de Ver Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). São João de Ver will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - São João de Ver (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São João de Ver (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Joao Goncalo (G) 78. Pinto G. 24. Sampaio T. 26. Batista J. 15. Breno 35. Cardoso F. (C) 8. Braga V. 77. Carlos Daniel 79. Teixeira T. 7. Veiga T. 10. Ka
65. Didi (G) 21. Rui Bruno 23. Monteiro J. 4. Morais B. 55. Vilela M. 29. Valente R. 33. Washington 6. Barbosa D. 11. Rai Nascimento 17. Pereira N. 37. Firmino H.
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 21. Davis SIlva 95. Fonseca T. 17. Goncalves R. 19. Leal J. 22. Manu (G) 11. Picas 13. Vigario J. 5. Ze Oliveira
99. Benjamim R. (G) 27. Ca L. 20. Campas T. 10. Castro J. 7. Erick Gabriel 5. Jota 8. Juninho 9. Marques P. 3. Serrao J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Pereira N. ⚽, Rai Nascimento (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Batista J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Barbosa D. 🟨,
59', Firmino H. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
59', Barbosa D. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
61', Sampaio T. ↓, Ze Oliveira ↑,
61', Carlos Daniel ↓, Davis SIlva ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Pereira N. ⚽,
67', Teixeira T. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
71', Pereira N. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
78', Cardoso F. ↓, Leal J. ↑,
78', Breno ↓, Goncalves R. ↑,
81', Rai Nascimento ↓, Campas T. ↑,
81', Valente R. ↓, Erick Gabriel ↑,
90+3', Braga V. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 3.
Fafe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
São João de Ver is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Fafe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Portugal
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Joao Goncalo (G) 
Carlos Daniel 
Ka 
Picas 
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