Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 23

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Pevidem		Limianos

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.45
	2.95	3.05	2.3
	2.04	3.08	3.51
	2.95	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.91)	3.05 ↓ (3.14)	2.64 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
35%

Draw
30.2%

Limianos
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.2%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Limianos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Pevidem - Limianos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Marna J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, (Pen),

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Pevidem has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Limianos is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Pevidem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Pevidem - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.03.25	Dumiense - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Pevidem - Atlético dos Arcos	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Tirsense - Pevidem	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Brito - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pevidem - Vianense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.03.25	Limianos - Vianense	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Vila Real - Limianos	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Limianos - Joane	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Bragança - Limianos	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Limianos - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
30.11.24	Limianos - Pevidem	2:2
Campeonato de Portugal Promotion Group
01.06.24	Pevidem - Limianos	0:1
05.05.24	Limianos - Pevidem	2:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.03.24	Limianos - Pevidem	0:0
09.12.23	Pevidem - Limianos	2:2

Pevidem - Limianos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide