Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 21

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Pevidem		Atlético dos Arcos

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.2	4.4
	1.73	3.31	4.83
	1.69	3.42	4.68
	1.79	3.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.17)	3.28 ↑ (3)	4.58 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pevidem
52.2%

Draw
27.8%

Atlético dos Arcos
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pevidem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pevidem's performance.

Atlético dos Arcos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético dos Arcos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pevidem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético dos Arcos than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético dos Arcos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pevidem - Atlético dos Arcos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Pedro L. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Gomes H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Pacheco J. ⚽,
77', 1 - 3, Guerra L. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Pevidem is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético dos Arcos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pevidem will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pevidem won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.25	Tirsense - Pevidem	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Brito - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pevidem - Vianense	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Vila Real - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Pevidem - Joane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTW
- Atlético dos Arcos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
22.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Vianense	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vila Real - Atlético dos Arcos	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Joane	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Bragança - Atlético dos Arcos	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Atlético dos Arcos - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.24	Atlético dos Arcos - Pevidem	2:0

Pevidem - Atlético dos Arcos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide