Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 20

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Tirsense		Pevidem

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.45
	2.27	2.92	3.27
	2.21	3	3.19
	1.98	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.27)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	3.34 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirsense
43.3%

Draw
29.4%

Pevidem
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Tirsense - Pevidem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Alex Reis ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Carvalho B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tirsense won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tirsense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:17 (average 1.1:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Tirsense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
16.02.25	Vianense - Tirsense	3:2 ✺
09.02.25	Tirsense - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Joane - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Tirsense - Bragança	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Vitoria Guimarães B - Tirsense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLL
- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
16.02.25	Brito - Pevidem	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pevidem - Vianense	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Vila Real - Pevidem	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Pevidem - Joane	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bragança - Pevidem	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.10.24	Pevidem - Tirsense	3:2
09.03.24	Pevidem - Tirsense	3:1
12.11.23	Tirsense - Pevidem	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.03.23	Tirsense - Pevidem	1:2
20.11.22	Pevidem - Tirsense	1:3
24.01.21	Tirsense - Pevidem	1:3
14.11.20	Pevidem - Tirsense	5:0

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