Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Peña Deportiva		Málaga

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.05
	3.6	3.15	2.05
	3.25	3.35	2.11
	3.17	3.36	2.09
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.24	2.16	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↓ (5.03)	3.29 ↓ (3.55)	2.11 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Deportiva
27.8%

Draw
28.2%

Málaga
44%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.4%

26%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

16.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peña Deportiva's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Peña Deportiva - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Peña Deportiva will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Peña Deportiva is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Málaga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Málaga will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
06.11.22	Mallorca B - Peña Deportiva	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Peña Deportiva - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2:1 ✺
23.10.22	Hércules - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Peña Deportiva - Alzira	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Zaragoza B - Peña Deportiva	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWLWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Málaga - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
03.11.22	Cartagena - Málaga	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Málaga - Eibar	0:1 ✺
24.10.22	Real Oviedo - Málaga	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Málaga - Lugo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
01.11.26	Peña Deportiva - Atlético Baleares	✺
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga
31.10.26	Betis - Málaga	✺

Peña Deportiva - Málaga