Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Chile	Disney+
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Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, LaLiga TV Bar 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Real Oviedo		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.69	3.5	5.2	Watch
	1.69	3.55	5.69	Watch
	1.7	3.56	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.5 ↓ (3.57)	5.35 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
55.7%

Draw
26.8%

Málaga
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

24.6%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Real Oviedo - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Oviedo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oviedo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 15. Luengo O. 12. Calvo D. 21. Pomares C. 23. Hassan H. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 16. Chaira I. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 19. Vinas F.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 20. Monte N. 4. Galilea E. 14. Garcia V. 10. Larrubia D. 19. Luismi 12. Molina M. 26. Cordero A. 27. Chupe 24. Lobete J.
Substitutes
24. Ahijado L. 9. Alemao 3. Alhassane R. 1. Braat Q. (G) 27. Cardero A. 31. Chukwuma E. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 10. Portillo F. 20. Seoane J.	9. Baturina R. 17. Dioni 13. Lopez C. (G) 11. Medina K. 16. Murillo D. 35. Ochoa A. 5. Pastor A. 32. Rafita 21. Rahmani Y. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D. 23. Sangalli L.
Coaches
Paunovic V.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Luengo O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', Cazorla S. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
69', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
69', Chaira I. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
70', Cordero A. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Colombatto S. ⚽, Calvo D. (A),
78', Larrubia D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
78', Luismi ↓, Dioni ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Dioni ⚽, Medina K. (A),
85', Hassan H. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
88', Chupe ↓, Rahmani Y. ↑,
88', Lobete J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Molina M. (Own goal),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 3.

Oviedo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

There will not play in Oviedo: Costas D. (Yellow Cards) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Hamstring Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Gabilondo J. (Yellow Cards) Juanpe (Yellow Cards) Lorenzo D. (Inactive) Merino I. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Inactive)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.25	Granada - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Real Oviedo - Elche	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mirandés - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Real Oviedo - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Burgos - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.25	Málaga - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Albacete Balompié - Málaga	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Almería - Málaga	2:2 ✺
21.02.25	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.24	Málaga - Real Oviedo	0:0
03.02.23	Málaga - Real Oviedo	0:1
24.10.22	Real Oviedo - Málaga	1:0
07.05.22	Málaga - Real Oviedo	0:0
31.10.21	Real Oviedo - Málaga	2:1
17.05.21	Real Oviedo - Málaga	1:0
09.01.21	Málaga - Real Oviedo	1:1

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