Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Guerra E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.20	6.50	Watch
	1.42	4.20	6.75
	1.40	4.30	7.50
	1.46	4.29	7.83
	1.45	4.19	7.32	Watch
	1.43	4.30	7.55
	1.39	4.00	7.70	Watch
	1.42	4.20	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 (1.42)	4.21 ↑ (4.12)	7.29 ↑ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
65.3%

Draw
22%

Central Español
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

22.3%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 3. Lemos M. 6. Ferreira L. 15. Olivera M. (C) 7. Cabrera J. 5. Remedi E. 8. Fernandez N. 13. Darias E. 11. Jaime C. 19. Arezo M. 99. Hernandez A.	1. Marquez E. (G) 5. Gonzalez M. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 2. Rodriguez I. 4. Montiel M. 26. Cesar Nunes 16. Mendez I. 24. Gandolfo G. 7. Munoz F. 9. Tarragona R. 20. Dellarossa J.
Substitutes
28. Alegre I. 77. Angulo L. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 93. Laxalt D. 27. Lucas Hernandez 30. Muhlethaler S. 16. Olase T. 14. Rodriguez K. 32. Umpierrez L.	10. Aguilera M. 30. Alonso M. 12. Benitez A. (G) 8. Camarda F. 17. Fernandez L. 11. Gandulfo L. 77. Mereles E. 21. Pino L. 28. Sosa F. 6. Urrutia M.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Osella D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Munoz F. 🟨,
27', Lemos M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Munoz F. ↓, Pino L. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽,
63', Mendez I. ↓, Aguilera M. ↑,
63', Dellarossa J. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
68', Hernandez A. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Jaime C. ⚽,
74', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
76', Darias E. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
76', Jaime C. ↓, Alegre I. ↑,
76', Cabrera J. ↓, Angulo L. ↑,
77', Fernandez N. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Gandolfo G. ⚽,
81', Alegre I. 🟨,
82', Arezo M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
85', Fernandez N. 🟨,
87', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mereles E. ↑,
87', Rodriguez I. ↓, Alonso M. ↑,
90+1', Villoldo A. 🟨,

Preview

Central Español may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.

We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penarol	9	6	2	1	15:6	9	19

Last Results with these Odds

Peñarol de Montevideo - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.5%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	5:1 ✺
01.08.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
12.07.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTW
- Central Español
Uruguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	Central Español - Progreso	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Boston River - Central Español	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Central Español - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
01.06.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	0:1
15.02.26	Central Español - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:1
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.13	Central Español - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
06.10.12	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	3:0

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