Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 7

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo)

Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Cerro Largo

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.52	4.00	5.25
	1.55	3.75	5.5
	1.58	3.95	6.06
	1.57	3.85	5.71	Watch
	1.55	3.85	5.7
	1.54	3.65	5.67	Watch
	1.56	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	3.84 ↓ (4)	5.59 ↓ (6.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
59.4%

Draw
24%

Cerro Largo
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

23.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Cerro Largo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 36. Barboza B. 6. Ferreira L. 34. Herrera N. (C) 27. Lucas Hernandez 7. Cabrera J. 8. Fernandez N. 13. Darias E. 11. Jaime C. 19. Arezo M. 99. Hernandez A.	12. Gonzalez Ojeda P. M. (G) 17. Hernandez A. 14. Correa L. 3. Piegas A. 20. Franca S. 8. Garcia M. 15. Assis S. (C) 5. Marcel S. 10. Pandiani A. 18. Daguerre D. 7. Viera G.
Substitutes
28. Alegre I. 40. Alvarez B. 77. Angulo L. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 93. Laxalt D. 3. Lemos M. 16. Olase T. 33. Rodriguez J. 4. Romero F.	9. Barone B. 22. Bertocchi N. 21. Cabral E. 26. de Leon E. 11. de Luca A. 24. Gonzalez L. (G) 25. Jourdan E. 6. Pou J. 19. Prado A. 28. Ramos N.
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Ordonez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Marcel S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
39', Lucas Hernandez 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Arezo M. ⚽,
61', Herrera N. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
61', Cabrera J. ↓, Angulo L. ↑,
61', Hernandez A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
64', Viera G. ↓, de Luca A. ↑,
64', Pandiani A. ↓, de Leon E. ↑,
71', Jaime C. ↓, Alvarez B. ↑,
71', Darias E. ↓, Olase T. ↑,
74', Barboza B. 🟨,
81', Marcel S. ↓, Ramos N. ↑,
84', Assis S. ↓, Jourdan E. ↑,
84', Daguerre D. ↓, Barone B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.

In recent matches, Peñarol has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Penarol	9	6	2	1	15:6	9	19
14	Cerro Largo	9	0	5	4	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.07.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
12.07.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
07.06.26	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTWLL
- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.07.26	Central Español - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
13.07.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
08.06.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Cerro Largo - Cerro	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Cerro Largo - Boston River	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.05.26	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3
27.09.25	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3
01.06.25	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1
30.03.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:2
17.08.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0
18.02.24	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2
14.11.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1

Upcoming Matches