Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Philadelphia Union II		Loudoun United

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.83	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2
	3.3	3.3	1.95
	3.25	3.7	1.95
	3.3	3.88	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.42)	3.52 ↑ (3.2)	1.93 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Union II
27.1%

Draw
25.8%

Loudoun United
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

19.5%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Union II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Union II's form might have worsened.

Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loudoun United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (+26.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loudoun United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8%	0%	92%

Philadelphia Union II - Loudoun United Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Philadelphia II will win (votes: 2 - 8%). Loudoun will win (votes: 23 - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Loudoun: 81.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Philadelphia II has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Loudoun has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The competitors look crappy now.

Philadelphia II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Loudoun will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Philadelphia II won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Philadelphia II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Union II
USL Championship
12.09.20	Loudoun United - Philadelphia Union II	1:1 ✺
09.09.20	New York Red Bulls 2 - Philadelphia Union II	6:0 ✺
06.09.20	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Philadelphia Union II	2:0 ✺
02.09.20	Philadelphia Union II - Atlanta United II	1:2 ✺
05.08.20	Philadelphia Union II - New York Red Bulls 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLLW
- Loudoun United
USL Championship
12.09.20	Loudoun United - Philadelphia Union II	1:1 ✺
05.09.20	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	2:1 ✺
01.09.20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Loudoun United	3:0 ✺
29.08.20	Loudoun United - New York Red Bulls 2	2:3 ✺
23.08.20	Hartford Athletic - Loudoun United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
12.09.20	Loudoun United - Philadelphia Union II	1:1
07.03.20	Philadelphia Union II - Loudoun United	0:0
18.09.19	Philadelphia Union II - Loudoun United	5:2
03.05.19	Loudoun United - Philadelphia Union II	3:3

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