Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Rizal Memorial Stadium (Manila)

Where to Watch on TV:


Timor-leste	RTTL


	Philippines		Timor-Leste

	1	X	2
	1.04	13	67
	1	15	67
	1.01	12.5	18.5
	1.01	21	65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.03)	15.38 ↑ (11)	54.38 ↑ (21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philippines
92.2%

Draw
6.1%

Timor-Leste
1.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.5%

8.2%

4.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philippines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Timor-Leste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Philippines - Timor Leste Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Philippines will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philippines (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Timor-Leste (43.27) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Philippines (votes: 2 - 50%). Timor-Leste (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) Chonburi 14. Baccay J. Odds BK 17. Holtmann G. Bochum 20. Kempter M. Muang Thong Utd 10. Kristensen B. KFUM Oslo 7. Leipold A. Helmond Sport 5. Nyholm J. Prachuap 8. Ott Ma. (C) Rayong FC 6. Reyes S. Gutersloh 11. Schneider R. Winterthur 4. Tabinas J. Chonburi	12. de Castro Pereira J. M. (G) 23. Correia A. 13. Cruz Z. Serpa 21. Freitas Gali (C) Persebaya 8. Gomes Osorio C. Persipal BU 2. Jom R. Rydalmere Lions 5. Panji J. 9. Rangel J. Leiston 15. Santiago da Costa 22. Viegas N. 7. Zenivio Tanjong Pagar
Substitutes
12. Aguinaldo A. DPMM 19. Bailey Z. New Mexico 18. Demuynck D. Lierse SK 9. Gayoso J. Bangkok FC 15. Guimaraes N. (G) 16. Kammeraad Q. (G) Kuala Lumpur City 22. Lucero J. Kanchanaburi 13. Monis A. New England Revolution 23. Rasmussen S. 3. Rontini C. 21. Rublico S. Atl. Madrid 2. Ugelvik A. Prachuap	19. Canavaro V. 3. de Carvalho M. 4. Emidio E. 18. Filomeno Junior 16. Freteliano 10. Joao Pedro Kuching City FC 14. Kornelis Nahak 1. Mendonca Georgino (G) Life FC 11. Mouzinho Igalo 20. Niski D. (G) Mount Druitt Town Rangers 17. Requis Dias Quintao M. D. 6. Ximenes K. Moyola

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Rangel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Tabinas J. ⚽,
62', Cruz Z. ↓, Mouzinho ↑,
66', Leipold A. ↓, Gayoso J. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Kristensen B. ⚽, Nyholm J. (A),
72', Tabinas J. 🟨,
73', Gomes Osorio C. ↓, Requis Dias Quintao M. D. ↑,
74', Jom R. ↓, Freteliano ↑,
77', Nyholm J. ↓, Bailey Z. ↑,
77', Reyes S. ↓, Aguinaldo A. ↑,
82', Zenivio ↓, de Carvalho M. ↑,
86', Freteliano 🟨,
89', Kristensen B. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
89', Holtmann G. ↓, Rasmussen S. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Gayoso J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Philippines is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Philippines won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philippines
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:4 ✺
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2 ✺
25.03.25	Philippines - Maldives	4:1 ✺
ASEAN Championship
30.12.24	Thailand - Philippines	3:1 ET ✺
27.12.24	Philippines - Thailand	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWLW
- Timor-Leste
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:4 ✺
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Tajikistan - Timor-Leste	1:0 ✺
Friendly
20.03.25	Lebanon - Timor-Leste	4:0 ✺
ASEAN Championship
17.12.24	Cambodia - Timor-Leste	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
09.10.25	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:4
ASEAN Championship
11.12.21	Timor-Leste - Philippines	0:7
17.11.18	Timor-Leste - Philippines	2:3
Friendly
05.12.17	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:0

Philippines - Timor-Leste: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide