Match Info

Date: 7 February 2021, Sunday


	Piacenza		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	3	2.87	2.3
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	2.88	2.8	2.45
	2.95	2.75	2.41
	3.24	2.95	2.49
	3	2.9	2.5
	2.99	2.99	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.51)	2.87 ↓ (2.89)	2.41 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piacenza
30.2%

Draw
31.9%

Carrarese
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

31.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

22.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piacenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piacenza's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piacenza than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piacenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Piacenza - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Piacenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carrarese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Piacenza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Piacenza won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piacenza Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
03.02.21	Livorno - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
30.01.21	Piacenza - Pontedera	0:2 ✺
24.01.21	Grosseto - Piacenza	2:1 ✺
17.01.21	Juventus U23 - Piacenza	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Piacenza - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLTT
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.21	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Carrarese - Pro Sesto	0:1 ✺
24.01.21	Pro Patria - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
17.01.21	Pro Vercelli - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
09.01.21	Carrarese - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.20	Carrarese - Piacenza	1:1
13.02.19	Carrarese - Piacenza	0:2
17.10.18	Piacenza - Carrarese	2:1
29.03.18	Carrarese - Piacenza	2:0
12.11.17	Piacenza - Carrarese	1:1
18.03.17	Piacenza - Carrarese	1:0
30.10.16	Carrarese - Piacenza	1:0

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