Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Pro Patria		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.55	2.75	2.8
	2.55	2.45	3.25
	2.55	2.55	2.95
	2.65	2.6	3.09
	2.55	2.8	3
	2.49	2.97	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.38)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)	2.99 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Patria
36%

Draw
33.4%

Carrarese
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.1%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pro Patria - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Pro Patria is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carrarese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carrarese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Italian Serie C Group A
16.01.21	Pro Patria - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Livorno - Pro Patria	0:2 ✺
23.12.20	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Novara - Pro Patria	0:0 ✺
13.12.20	Pro Patria - Lecco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWTW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.21	Pro Vercelli - Carrarese	3:1 ✺
09.01.21	Carrarese - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Lucchese - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
19.12.20	Carrarese - AlbinoLeffe	1:0 ✺
12.12.20	Como - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
27.09.20	Carrarese - Pro Patria	0:0
27.10.19	Pro Patria - Carrarese	2:3
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
12.05.19	Carrarese - Pro Patria	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
27.01.19	Pro Patria - Carrarese	3:1
30.09.18	Carrarese - Pro Patria	2:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
16.03.14	Carrarese - Pro Patria	1:0
16.11.13	Pro Patria - Carrarese	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora Pro Patria 1919
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Leon - Pro Patria	✺
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Verona - Carrarese	✺
28.10.26	Carrarese - Arezzo	✺

Pro Patria - Carrarese