Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 19

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday


	Pontedera		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.85	2.4
	2.9	3	2.5	Watch
	3.05	2.89	2.61
	3.05	2.63	2.61
	2.88	2.88	2.4
	2.89	2.9	2.43
	2.9	2.9	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.13)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)	2.48 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
31.3%

Draw
31.9%

Carrarese
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

30%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontedera's form might have worsened.

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carrarese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontedera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carrarese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Pontedera - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pontedera will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Carrarese will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Vivoli N. (G) 4. Calvani G. 19. Espeche M. 5. Martinelli R. 21. Perretta G. 16. Ignacchiti L. 13. Catanese G. 3. Angori S. 10. Benedetti G. 11. Ianesi S. 25. Nicastro F.	1. Bleve M. (G) 4. Illanes J. 15. Di Gennaro M. 21. Coppolaro M. 72. Zanon S. 8. Palmieri R. 6. Cerretelli F. 11. Cicconi M. 28. Capello A. 10. Panico G. 27. Simeri S.
Substitutes
7. Ambrosini M. 40. Busi J. (G) 20. Delpupo I. 9. Fossati D. 2. Gagliardi L. 18. Guidi M. 1. Lewis L. (G) 8. Marrone F. 14. Paudice L. 6. Pretato M. 29. Salvadori A. 26. Selleri G.	26. Cartano R. 99. Giannetti N. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 20. Opoola M. 23. Raimo A. 33. Sansaro A. 30. Sementa M. 12. Tampucci T. (G)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Pontedera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.23	Olbia - Pontedera	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.12.23	Pontedera - Padova	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
05.12.23	Pontedera - Pescara	0:5 ✺
02.12.23	Ancona - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.12.23	Carrarese - Lucchese	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Rimini - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Carrarese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Perugia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Carrarese - SPAL	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Carrarese - Pontedera	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
12.02.23	Pontedera - Carrarese	0:1
16.10.22	Carrarese - Pontedera	1:0
22.12.21	Carrarese - Pontedera	2:0
29.08.21	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.21	Pontedera - Carrarese	1:1
07.10.20	Carrarese - Pontedera	2:1

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