The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pianese 29.3%
Draw 31%
Arezzo 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.3%
28.1%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
27.7%
53.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pianese's performance.
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arezzo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pianese that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pianese - Arezzo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Pianese (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pianese (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Filippis E. (G) 16. Chesti F. 56. Masetti L. 15. Gorelli M. 33. Coccia L. 7. Peli L. 8. Simeoni L. 27. Bertini M. 13. Ercolani L. 21. Tirelli M. 11. Bellini L.
1. Trombini L. (G) 26. De Col F. 23. Arena M. 14. Meli M. 37. Righetti S. 24. Chierico L. 19. Chiosa M. 7. Guccione F. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 11. Varela Djamanca M.
Substitutes
5. Balde M. 12. Bertini T. (G) 23. Chiavarino M. 47. Jasharovski A. 77. Martey C. 70. Nicastro M. 9. Ongaro E. 30. Proietto F. 10. Puletto F. 25. Spinosa L. 19. Sussi C. 71. Xhani K. 22. Zambuto A. (G)
77. Dell'Aquila F. 8. Eklu S. M. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 78. Iaccarino G. 45. Perrotta F. 91. Ravasio M. 6. Renzi A. 21. Tavernelli C. 3. Tito F. 22. Venturi G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Chesti F. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Bellini L. ⚽,
32', Simeoni L. 🟨,
36', Bellini L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
56', Arena M. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
56', Varela Djamanca M. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
56', Meli M. ↓, Tavernelli C. ↑,
58', Ercolani L. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Pattarello E. ⚽,
62', Bellini L. ↓, Ongaro E. ↑,
62', Bertini M. ↓, Sussi C. ↑,
67', Simeoni L. ↓, Proietto F. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
80', Tirelli M. ↓, Martey C. ↑,
83', Ercolani L. 🟥,
87', Chesti F. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Pattarello E. ⚽,
90+1', Pattarello E. 🟨,
90+3', Cianci P. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 4, Chierico L. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 0.
Pianese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arezzo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Pianese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arezzo is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pianese won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Pianese won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).