Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena


	Arezzo		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.25	9.86
	13.86	3.23	1.44	Watch
	1.33	4.58	10.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (1.44)	4.02 ↑ (3.74)	7.13 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
31.8%

Draw
43.6%

Guidonia Montecelio
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

24.3%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

22.4%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guidonia Montecelio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+36.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guidonia Montecelio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Arezzo - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guidonia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Arezzo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 24. Chierico L. 26. De Col F. 8. Eklu S. M. 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 7. Guccione F. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 37. Righetti S. 21. Tavernelli C.	12. Mazzi G. (G) 90. Bernardotto G. 5. Cristini A. 8. Errico A. 2. Esempio S. 6. Malomo A. 21. Mastrantonio V. 14. Santoro S. 10. Spavone A. 33. Tascone S. 77. Zappella D.
Substitutes
23. Arena M. 19. Chiosa M. 71. Cianci P. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 83. Ferrara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 78. Iaccarino G. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.	9. Cali A. 18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 13. Mule E. 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 17. Stefanelli F. 1. Stellato G. (G) 99. Tessiore A. 4. Toma R. 32. Zuppel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Spavone A. ⚽,
37', Tascone S. 🟨,
39', Gilli M. 🟨,
43', Errico A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Gilli M. ↓, Arena M. ↑,
60', Chierico L. ↓, Eklu S. M. ↑,
62', Eklu S. M. 🟨,
66', Guccione F. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
67', Tascone S. ↓, Sannipoli D. ↑,
70', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
70', Spavone A. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
77', Tavernelli C. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
77', Pattarello E. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
81', Gigli N. 🟨,
89', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
89', Santoro S. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,

Preview

Arezzo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guidonia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Arezzo is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.25	Juventus U23 - Arezzo	2:3 ✺
06.09.25	Arezzo - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Pontedera - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Arezzo - Forlì	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Arezzo - Bra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
13.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Livorno - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
01.09.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Perugia - Guidonia Montecelio	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Benevento - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLTL

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