Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Pianese		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.40	2.88	2.70
	2.37	3.01	3	Watch
	2.30	2.93	3.00
	2.36	2.90	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)	2.93 ↓ (2.97)	2.93 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
38.3%

Draw
30.8%

Pineto
30.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

30.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Pianese - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th in the Serie C - Play Out and 17th in the Serie C - Play Out).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Pianese may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Pianese has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 1.4:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pianese against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 2.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
17	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
10.10.26	Ostia Mare - Pianese	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Pianese - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Livorno - Pianese	3:2 ✺
21.09.26	Pianese - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sassari Torres - Pianese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TWLTL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Pineto	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Pineto - Grosseto	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Campobasso - Pineto	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Pianese - Pineto	1:0
01.11.25	Pineto - Pianese	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Pineto - Pianese	0:1
Italian Serie C Group B
12.04.25	Pianese - Pineto	4:0
29.11.24	Pineto - Pianese	1:0

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