Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Referee: Sciolti G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Pineto		Grosseto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.90
	2.3	3.05	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.2	3.09
	2.28	3.12	3.05	Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.2	3.13	2.99	Watch
	2.29	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.31)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pineto
40.2%

Draw
29.4%

Grosseto
30.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Pineto - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (C) 5. Di Renzo G. 52. Frare D. 28. D'Orazio T. 2. Scheffer M. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 3. Ienco S. 99. Pellegrino A. 9. Vigliotti G. 70. Forte R.	35. Marcu A. (G) 91. Pitti E. 27. Brenna D. (C) 23. Ampollini F. 47. Mannelli M. 29. Andreoli L. 8. Damiani M. 5. Sabattini L. 70. Fabri F. 28. Gaddini M. 9. Gori L.
Substitutes
13. Alessandretti G. 41. Asmussen A. 43. Colaneri C. (G) 64. Corradini F. 10. Delle Monache M. 15. Ferrante D. 7. Guadagni G. 4. Nebuloso G. 69. Pistillo D. 47. Sabatelli A. 1. Turi C. (G)	24. Alfani L. 78. Brigliozzi D. (G) 1. Cabella M. (G) 32. Ciraudo A. 99. Della Mora T. 25. Fantacci T. 16. Fiorani M. 11. Fiorini P. 79. Hasani A. 77. Lorenzelli E. 18. Lorenzini J. 10. Mastroianni F. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 19. Montini A. 39. Tosi L.
Coaches
Barilari E.	Indiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
15', 0 - 1, Mannelli M. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Andreoli L. ⚽,
36', Pitti E. ↓, Montini A. ↑,
37', Ienco S. 🟨,
42', 0 - 3, Gaddini M. ⚽,
45+4', Pellegrino A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Damiani M. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
46', Forte R. ↓, Delle Monache M. ↑,
46', Ienco S. ↓, Pistillo D. ↑,
48', 0 - 4, Fabri F. ⚽, Sabattini L. (A),
56', Gaddini M. 🟨,
59', Germinario G. 🟨,
59', Gaddini M. ↓, Fiorini P. ↑,
65', Pellegrino A. ↓, Asmussen A. ↑,
65', Lombardi L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
66', Fiorini P. 🟨,
79', Gori L. ↓, Tosi L. ↑,
79', Fabri F. ↓, Fantacci T. ↑,
82', Scheffer M. ↓, Ferrante D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 12th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Grosseto has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Grosseto	9	5	3	1	17:9	8	18
17	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Pineto - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.81%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.26	Campobasso - Pineto	2:2 ✺
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Perugia - Pineto	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Pineto - Livorno	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTWLT
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Grosseto - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pianese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.09.26	Grosseto - Latina	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.26	Grosseto - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTTLW

Upcoming Matches