Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pineto		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.28	2.95	2.80	Watch
	2.24	3.06	3.51
	2.34	2.93	3.15	Watch
	2.19	3.00	3.40
	2.29	2.98	3.38	Watch
	2.26	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.18)	2.97 ↑ (2.95)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
40.5%

Draw
30.8%

Sambenedettese
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

30.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Pineto - Sambenedettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (C) 3. Ienco S. 13. Alessandretti G. 52. Frare D. 7. Guadagni G. 99. Pellegrino A. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 28. D'Orazio T. 9. Vigliotti G. 70. Forte R.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 17. Pezzola L. 15. Gigli N. 90. Kosijer S. 10. Marranzino P. 28. Machin J. 18. Candellori K. (C) 14. Plicco E. 6. Piccoli M. 9. Sgarbi L. 93. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
77. Ardizzone S. 41. Asmussen A. 43. Colaneri C. (G) 5. Di Renzo G. 15. Ferrante D. 4. Nebuloso G. 69. Pistillo D. 2. Scheffer M. 23. Serbouti A. 1. Turi C. (G)	81. Barraco A. (G) 38. Buljan L. 29. Camigliano A. 20. Carinelli M. 5. Chelli M. 1. Cultraro G. (G) 23. De Angelis E. 7. Faggioli A. 30. Nicoli S. 21. Perrotta F. 11. Stabile D. P. 37. Toure M. 8. Tunjov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Piccoli M. 🟨,
15', Magnaghi S. 🟨,
37', Vigliotti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Guadagni G. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Germinario G. ⚽, Forte R. (A),
62', Machin J. ↓, Buljan L. ↑,
62', Plicco E. ↓, Tunjov G. ↑,
69', Magnaghi S. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Vigliotti G. ⚽,
77', Marranzino P. ↓, Perrotta F. ↑,
78', Piccoli M. ↓, Nicoli S. ↑,
78', Pezzola L. ↓, Chelli M. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Candellori K. ⚽, Chelli M. (A),
83', Frare D. 🟨,
85', D'Orazio T. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
90', Sgarbi L. 🟨,
90+4', Germinario G. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
90+6', Tunjov G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Pineto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pineto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7
19	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	11:14	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.26	Perugia - Pineto	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Pineto - Livorno	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Latina - Pineto	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.08.26	Pro Vasto - Pineto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTLL
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
06.09.26	Sambenedettese - Spezia	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Altamura - Sambenedettese	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Sassari Torres - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sambenedettese - Forlì	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.26	Pescara - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.03.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	0:0
23.11.25	Sambenedettese - Pineto	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Pineto - Sambenedettese	0:0
09.10.22	Sambenedettese - Pineto	0:3
22.05.22	Pineto - Sambenedettese	1:2
23.01.22	Sambenedettese - Pineto	0:0

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