Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Piancastagnaio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Pianese		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.7
	2	3.2	3.75
	1.97	3.22	4.05
	1.93	3.27	4.15	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.88	3.2	3.93	Watch
	2	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	3.21 ↑ (3)	3.89 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pianese
47.7%

Draw
28.6%

Sestri Levante
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

28.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pianese's performance.

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestri Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pianese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestri Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Pianese - Sestri Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pianese will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Boer P. (G) 24. Chesti F. 5. Pacciardi F. 15. Polidori M. 23. Nicoli S. 30. Proietto F. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 77. Boccadamo A. 10. Mastropietro F. 73. Falleni A. 9. Mignani G.	1. Anacoura J. (G) 27. Podda L. 4. Pane M. 5. Valentini N. 43. Montebugnoli M. 25. Nunziatini F. 86. Raggio G. S. 8. Conti F. 3. Furno C. 10. Clemenza L. 9. Parravicini N.
Substitutes
67. Barbetti F. 21. Colombo M. 7. Da Pozzo L. 1. Filippis E. (G) 28. Indragoli G. 19. Papini A. 22. Reali A. (G) 18. Reali S. 46. Sorrentino L. 25. Spinosa L.	37. Brugognone G. 6. Brunet J. 11. De Felice F. 7. Durmush M. 22. Fusco E. (G) 28. Giorno F. 14. Oneto E. 19. Pavanello A. 95. Primasso A. 18. Rosetti M. 12. Sias F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Clemenza L. 🟨,
15', Raggio G. S. 🟨,
30', Furno C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Raggio G. S. ↓, Giorno F. ↑,
54', Nicoli S. ↓, Da Pozzo L. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Parravicini N. ⚽,
60', Podda L. 🟨,
65', Chesti F. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
65', Mignani G. ↓, Sorrentino L. ↑,
68', Da Pozzo L. 🟨,
71', Valentini N. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', Clemenza L. ↓, Nenci O. ↑,
84', Podda L. 🟥,
89', Sorrentino L. 🟨,
90+4', Parravicini N. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
90+5', Da Pozzo L. 🟥,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Pianese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestri Levante is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pianese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pianese is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
25.09.24	Lucchese - Pianese	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Pianese - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Pescara - Pianese	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Pianese - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Ascoli - Pianese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTLWL
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
24.09.24	Sestri Levante - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Legnago Salus - Sestri Levante	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Sestri Levante - SPAL	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Pontedera - Sestri Levante	4:1 ✺
31.08.24	Sestri Levante - Pineto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLT

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