Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Malec P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	12:15	Arena Sport 3
Canada	06:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	12:15	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Poland	12:15	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	12:15	Arena Sport 1x2
Usa	06:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA


	Piast Gliwice		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.70	Watch
	2.37	3.50	2.70
	2.55	3.40	2.63
	2.49	3.65	2.87
	2.5	3.52	2.75	Watch
	2.40	3.50	2.80
	2.38	3.63	2.80	Watch
	2.35	3.50	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.48)	3.53 ↓ (3.54)	2.74 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
39%

Draw
26.7%

Cracovia
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.2%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Piast Gliwice - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Piast will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cracovia (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 99. Twumasi E. 5. Juande 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 36. Lewicki J. 77. Mucha S. 27. Labojko J. 17. Boisgard Q. 80. Vallejo H. 19. Ntamack S. 11. Sanca L.	13. Madejski S. (G) 25. Kakabadze O. (C) 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 28. Burlet V. 70. Kameri D. 20. Knap K. 6. Al Ammari A. 17. Minchev M. 90. Berte M. 11. Nordas L.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 7. Felix J. 3. Fikaj E. 47. Grelich J. (G) 10. Katsantonis A. 91. Kucharski M. 31. Lesniak O. 90. Lima I. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 15. Pitan L. 22. Sierralta F.	22. Baumgartner D. 91. Bobek A. (G) 77. Chrapusta J. (G) 29. Dej W. 27. Eyob-Abraha S. 15. Glik K. 14. Hasic A. 43. Klich M. 39. Perkovic M. 79. Pila D. 5. Selan B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.	Grzelak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Czerwinski J. ⚽, Boisgard Q. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Vallejo H. ⚽, Mucha S. (A),
45', Mucha S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Czerwinski J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
46', Kameri D. ↓, Klich M. ↑,
46', Mucha S. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
48', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
57', Klich M. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Knap K. ⚽, Kakabadze O. (A),
72', Labojko J. ↓, Lima I. ↑,
78', Al Ammari A. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
79', Berte M. ↓, Hasic A. ↑,
83', Lima I. 🟨,
85', Ntamack S. ↓, Kucharski M. ↑,
90', Sanca L. ↓, Katsantonis A. ↑,
90', Traore B. ↓, Glik K. ↑,
90', Burlet V. ↓, Perkovic M. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Katsantonis A. ⚽,
90+7', Boisgard Q. 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 1.

Piast has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cracovia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Piast: Plach F. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cracovia: Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Tabisz M. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Piast has recorded 8 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:19 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Piast against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Piast Gliwice	12	6	2	4	22:18	4	20
13	Cracovia	12	3	3	6	14:19	-5	12

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Piast Gliwice: 3.64% Cracovia: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Piast Gliwice - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Cracovia - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.26	Górnik Zabrze - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Piast Gliwice - Wisła Kraków	3:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.26	Piast Gliwice - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Radomiak Radom - Piast Gliwice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLW
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.10.26	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
27.02.26	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	2:3
24.08.25	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
08.12.24	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
21.07.24	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	1:1
23.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
21.08.23	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	1:1
25.02.23	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	2:1

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