Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach (Gliwice)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Piast Gliwice		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.25	3	3.3	Watch
	2.34	3.13	3.49
	2.36	2.75	3.62	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.1
	2.33	3.08	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.24)	3.01 ↓ (3.24)	3.32 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piast Gliwice
40.6%

Draw
31.2%

Cracovia
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Piast Gliwice - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cracovia will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Plach F. (G) 55. Twumasi E. 4. Czerwinski J. (C) 29. Drapinski I. 36. Lewicki J. 17. Boisgard Q. 10. Dziczek P. 6. Chrapek M. 77. Jirka E. 63. Barkovskiy G. 11. Sanca L.	13. Madejski S. (G) 79. Pila D. 4. Henriksson G. 66. Wojcik O. 25. Kakabadze O. 6. Al Ammari A. 11. Maigaard M. 19. Olafsson D. 20. Knap K. 9. Stojilkovic F. 17. Minchev M.
Substitutes
28. Borowski F. 9. Dalmau A. 7. Felix J. 5. Juande 31. Lesniak O. 23. Mucha S. 15. Pitan L. 79. Rychta D. (G) 33. Szymanski K. (G) 20. Tomasiewicz G. 80. Vallejo H.	22. Biedrzycki B. 23. Bzdyl F. 91. Golonka K. (G) 77. Janasik P. 24. Jugas J. 70. Kameri D. 27. Ravas H. (G) 3. Skovgaard A. 21. Sutalo B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.
Coaches
Molder M.	Elsner L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', Knap K. ↓, Bzdyl F. ↑,
75', Sanca L. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
76', Jirka E. ↓, Mucha S. ↑,
80', Barkovskiy G. ↓, Dalmau A. ↑,
82', Minchev M. ↓, Sutalo B. ↑,
82', Pila D. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
85', Dziczek P. 🟨,
89', Boisgard Q. ↓, Felix J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 1.

Piast has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cracovia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Piast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Piast has had a series of away games.

Recently, Cracovia has had a series of home games.

Piast is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Piast won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Piast won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Cracovia - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.08.25	Motor Lublin - Piast Gliwice	0:0 ✺
01.08.25	Wisła Płock - Piast Gliwice	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Piast Gliwice - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Piast Gliwice	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Piast Gliwice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTL
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.08.25	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.25	Cracovia - Asteras Tripolis	Canceled ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.25	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
25.07.25	Cracovia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WL?TW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
08.12.24	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
21.07.24	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	1:1
23.02.24	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0
21.08.23	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	1:1
25.02.23	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	2:1
13.08.22	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	0:1
20.03.22	Cracovia - Piast Gliwice	0:1

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