Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:15	Arena Sport 3
Canada	14:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	20:15	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Poland	20:15	CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	20:15	Arena Sport 1x2
Ukraine	21:15	Sport 2
Usa	14:15	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Tubi TV
International	18:15	Sport 2 Baltic


	Cracovia		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.75	3.40	2.40
	2.88	3.35	2.40
	2.89	3.45	2.50
	2.9	3.41	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.40	2.45
	2.90	3.37	2.43	Watch
	2.75	3.30	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.6)	3.37 ↑ (3.08)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
33.2%

Draw
28%

Legia Warsaw
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

28.1%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cracovia - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 25. Kakabadze O. (C) 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 28. Burlet V. 20. Knap K. 6. Al Ammari A. 14. Hasic A. 43. Klich M. 17. Minchev M. 11. Nordas L.	89. Hindrich O. (G) 91. Piatkowski K. 8. Augustyniak R. 5. Deziel R. 22. Wszolek P. 53. Urbanski W. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 11. Chodyna K. 23. Sevcik M. 79. Zjawinski L. 9. Adamski R.
Substitutes
22. Baumgartner D. 90. Berte M. 91. Bobek A. (G) 77. Chrapusta J. (G) 29. Dej W. 27. Eyob-Abraha S. 15. Glik K. 70. Kameri D. 39. Perkovic M. 79. Pila D. 5. Selan B. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	6. Arreiol H. 24. Arsenic Z. 1. Brkic I. (G) 14. Colak A. 2. Fukuda S. 7. Kuchta J. 13. Reca A. 62. Stepniewski F. 17. Szczepaniak M. 4. Szymanski D. 27. Viunnyk B.
Coaches
Grzelak B.	Papszun M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Sevcik M. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
39', Wszolek P. 🟨,
40', Burlet V. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Nordas L. ⚽, Henriksson G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wszolek P. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
65', Sevcik M. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
74', Klich M. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
82', Zjawinski L. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
82', Deziel R. ↓, Arsenic Z. ↑,
85', Minchev M. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
88', Kapustka B. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Cracovia (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Legia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cracovia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Cracovia: Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Tabisz M. (Inactive).

Doubtful / questionable for Legia: Kuchta J. (Inactive).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cracovia has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:21 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cracovia against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 15:5 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Legia	13	6	6	1	23:11	12	24
13	Cracovia	13	3	3	7	15:21	-6	12

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Legia: 5.94% Cracovia: 0.13%

Last Results with these Odds

Cracovia - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Legia Warsaw - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.10.26	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	GKS Katowice - Cracovia	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Wisła Płock - Cracovia	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Znicz Pruszków - Cracovia	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.10.26	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Legia Warsaw - Korona Kielce	5:1
Polish Ekstraklasa
20.09.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Legia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Legia Warsaw - Widzew Łódź	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Motor Lublin - Legia Warsaw	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
08.03.26	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	1:0
31.08.25	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	2:1
18.05.25	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	3:1
23.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	3:2
20.12.23	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	2:0
17.12.23	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	2:0
12.02.23	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	2:2

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