Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Cracovia		Legia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.37
	2.68	3.45	2.4
	2.75	3.57	2.52
	1.66	3.71	5.19	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.4
	2.66	3.56	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.62)	3.5 ↑ (3.15)	2.82 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
38.1%

Draw
27.6%

Legia Warsaw
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Cracovia - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cracovia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Legia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cracovia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 3 - 50%). Legia (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 66. Wojcik O. 4. Henriksson G. 21. Sutalo B. 25. Kakabadze O. (C) 43. Klich M. 11. Maigaard M. 39. Perkovic M. 6. Al Ammari A. 17. Minchev M. 9. Stojilkovic F.	1. Tobiasz K. (G) 4. Burch M. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. (C) 3. Kapuadi S. 30. Stojanovic P. 67. Kapustka B. 44. Szymanski D. 53. Urbanski W. 13. Reca A. 9. Alfarela M. 29. Rajovic M.
Substitutes
23. Bzdyl F. 24. Jugas J. 70. Kameri D. 20. Knap K. 19. Olafsson D. 79. Pila D. 7. Praszelik M. 10. Rakoczy M. 27. Ravas H. (G) 18. Zahiroleslam K.	8. Augustyniak R. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 11. Chodyna K. 22. Elitim J. 27. Kobylak G. (G) . Krasniqi E. 18. Nsame J. 19. Vinagre R. 7. Wszolek P. 20. Zewlakow J.
Coaches
Elsner L.	Iordanescu E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Stojilkovic F. ⚽, Al Ammari A. (A),
26', Kakabadze O. 🟨,
45', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, Rajovic M. ⚽,
59', Alfarela M. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
63', Kapustka B. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Perkovic M. ⚽, Maigaard M. (A),
69', Klich M. ↓, Knap K. ↑,
70', Urbanski W. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
72', Maigaard M. 🟨,
77', Minchev M. ↓, Kameri D. ↑,
79', Kapustka B. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
79', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
88', Perkovic M. 🟨,
89', Stojilkovic F. 🟨,
90', Stojilkovic F. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Legia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Cracovia: Glik K. (Knee Injury) Hasic A. (Thigh Injury) Rakoczy M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Legia: Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cracovia won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.4:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.08.25	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
15.08.25	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Cracovia	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.25	Cracovia - Asteras Tripolis	Canceled ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.25	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWL?T
- Legia Warsaw
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Legia Warsaw - Hibernian	3:3 ET ✺
21.08.25	Hibernian - Legia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Legia Warsaw - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.08.25	Legia Warsaw - GKS Katowice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
18.05.25	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	3:1
23.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	3:2
20.12.23	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	2:0
17.12.23	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	2:0
12.02.23	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	2:2
29.07.22	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	3:0
21.05.22	Legia Warsaw - Cracovia	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.10.26	Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin	✺
- Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa
11.10.26	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Kraków	✺

Cracovia - Legia Warsaw: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Initial Probability

Our Initial ML Estimation

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Who will win by Users?

Cracovia - Legia Warsaw Predictions

Lineups

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

Upcoming Matches

Top Bookmakers Offers

Top Sports Predictions Today

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