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Current Win Probability
Piast Gliwice 21.9%
Draw 25.3%
Górnik Zabrze 52.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.7%
27.3%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
27.5%
38.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piast Gliwice's form might have worsened.
Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Górnik Zabrze's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piast Gliwice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Górnik Zabrze, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Górnik Zabrze (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Zabrze (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 28. Borowski F. 5. Juande 15. Pitan L. 3. Fikaj E. 90. Lima I. 31. Lesniak O. 17. Boisgard Q. (C) 77. Mucha S. 91. Kucharski M. 10. Katsantonis A.
99. Loska T. (G) 21. Zmrzly O. 26. Janicki R. 4. Bochniewicz P. 64. Janza E. (C) 14. Kubicki J. 82. Urbanski K. 6. Hojholt M. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 11. Prekop E. 33. Khlan M.
Substitutes
27. Labojko J. 36. Lewicki J. 18. Maziarz O. 12. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 19. Ntamack S. 11. Sanca L. 22. Sierralta F. 99. Twumasi E. 80. Vallejo H.
9. Antiste J. 8. Bernardo P. 66. Dietz M. 27. Inoussa Z. 20. Josema 23. Liseth S. 19. Peter Federico 1. Schulze P. (G) 2. Warczak P.
Coaches
Mysliwiec D.
Gasparik M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Zmrzly O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Khlan M. ↓, Inoussa Z. ↑,
46', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
46', Prekop E. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
58', Katsantonis A. 🟨,
58', Mucha S. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
58', Kucharski M. ↓, Sanca L. ↑,
74', Borowski F. ↓, Twumasi E. ↑,
74', Katsantonis A. ↓, Ntamack S. ↑,
76', Juande 🟨,
84', Kubicki J. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
85', Lesniak O. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Bochniewicz P. ↓, Josema ↑,
100', Hojholt M. ↓, Antiste J. ↑,
106', Boisgard Q. ↓, Maziarz O. ↑,
109', Antiste J. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Urbanski K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Labojko J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Janicki R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ntamack S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Janza E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vallejo H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Bernardo P. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Juande (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piast won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Górnik Zabrze could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Piast has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Górnik Zabrze holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Piast has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:15 (averaging 0.9:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Piast against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:5 goals (averaging 0.7:0.5 per game).
Poland
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Gril D. (G) 
Borowski F. 
Juande 
Fikaj E. 
Lima I. 
Boisgard Q. (C) 
Katsantonis A. 
Zmrzly O. 
Hojholt M. 
Ikia Dimi Y. 
Prekop E. 
Khlan M. 
Sanca L. 
Sierralta F. 
Twumasi E. 
Antiste J. 
Dietz M. 
Inoussa Z. 
Liseth S. 
Peter Federico 
Schulze P. (G) 
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