Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 37

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	Picerno		Città di Brindisi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.47	4.2	6	Watch
	1.51	4.3	5.87
	1.51	4.3	5.87
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.45	4.11	6.73
	1.48	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	4.22 ↓ (4.43)	5.93 ↓ (6.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
62.5%

Draw
21.9%

Città di Brindisi
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.9%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

19.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Città di Brindisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Picerno aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Brindisi than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Picerno - Città di Brindisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Merelli D. (G) 6. Allegretto A. 7. Ceccarelli T. 11. Esposito E. 8. Gallo A. 13. Gilli M. 25. Guerra W. 10. Maiorino P. 9. Murano J. 35. Novella M. 5. Pitarresi F.	22. Saio I. (G) 73. Bagatti N. 13. Bonnin T. 27. Calderoni M. 33. Falbo L. 3. Monti N. 10. Petrucci D. 17. Pinto G. 8. Speranza M. 29. Trotta M. 16. Valenti B.
Substitutes
24. Biasiol E. 66. Cadili A. 17. Ciko S. 70. D'Agostino G. 30. De Ciancio R. 12. Esposito A. (G) 77. Graziani V. 2. Pagliai G. 19. Petito F. 16. Santarcangelo A. 27. Savarese M.	1. Antonino V. (G) 15. Bellucci N. 9. Bunino C. 5. Fiorentino G. 34. Galazzini D. 4. Gorzelewski F. 19. Guida A. 20. Labriola V. 36. Martorelli C. 26. Merletti T. 44. Pagliuca M. 23. Spingola V. 7. Vantaggiato D. 2. Vona A. 77. Zerbo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Esposito E. 🟨,
35', Bagatti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟨,
65', Bagatti N. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
65', Speranza M. ↓, Labriola V. ↑,
65', Novella M. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
66', Maiorino P. ↓, Petito F. ↑,
66', Ceccarelli T. ↓, Santarcangelo A. ↑,
67', Guerra W. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Picerno is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs

Brindisi is Relegated to

Picerno is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brindisi is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Picerno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Picerno is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Picerno won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Picerno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
14.04.24	Casertana - Picerno	2:1 ✺
07.04.24	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Avellino - Picerno	6:1 ✺
23.03.24	Picerno - Latina	0:2 ✺
18.03.24	Potenza - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- SSD Città di Brindisi
Italian Serie C Group C
13.04.24	Città di Brindisi - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Crotone - Città di Brindisi	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Città di Brindisi - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
24.03.24	Città di Brindisi - Taranto	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Avellino - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.12.23	Città di Brindisi - Picerno	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.05.21	Città di Brindisi - Picerno	0:1
31.01.21	Picerno - Città di Brindisi	0:0

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