Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Referee: Mirabella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Potenza		Picerno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.60	4.40
	1.57	3.55	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.80	4.94
	1.58	3.9	5.1	Watch
	1.72	3.40	4.85
	1.64	3.86	4.96	Watch
	1.62	3.70	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.69 ↑ (3.63)	4.81 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
56%

Draw
24.9%

Picerno
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

25.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.6%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Potenza - Picerno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 6. Loiacono G. (C) 47. Bura R. 3. Russo L. 77. Ghisolfi M. 24. Bando A. 23. De Marco A. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G. 10. D'Auria G.	33. Marcone R. (G) 15. Tolovan R. 4. Bellodi G. 29. Del Fabro D. 30. Gemignani A. 8. Virgilio P. 44. Franco D. 16. Bianchi S. 7. Kanoute M. 90. Abreu L. (C) 99. Pugliese S.
Substitutes
98. Adjapong C. 7. Bruschi N. 8. Castorani M. 1. Franchi D. (G) 14. Franzolini A. 35. Giannini D. 12. Gironi C. (G) 18. Gorga G. 21. Manfredonia M. 80. Matheu P. 11. Mazzeo L. 9. Murano J. 25. Staver C. 2. Verza N.	26. Bassoli A. 72. Coppola G. 22. Cortese S. (G) 14. Egharevba D. 11. Esposito E. 10. Maiorino P. 21. Maselli S. 17. Nocerino L. 70. Oliviero A. 12. Pecci F. (G) 2. Perri M. 19. Pistolesi F. 23. Rillo F. 92. Scravaglieri M.
Coaches
Tisci I.	De Luca C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Loiacono G. ⚽,
29', Pugliese S. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Russo L. ⚽, De Marco A. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Pugliese S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 2, Bianchi S. ⚽, Virgilio P. (A),
59', Tolovan R. ↓, Bassoli A. ↑,
59', Abreu L. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
63', 3 - 2, Selleri G. ⚽,
66', 4 - 2, D'Auria G. ⚽, Petrungaro L. (A),
74', De Marco A. 🟥,
76', D'Auria G. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
82', Bianchi S. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
82', Del Fabro D. ↓, Rillo F. ↑,
84', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
84', Ghisolfi M. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
88', Bando A. ↓, Manfredonia M. ↑,
89', Petrungaro L. ↓, Bruschi N. ↑,
89', Virgilio P. ↓, Maselli S. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter - finals) and 5th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2.

Potenza is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Picerno have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Potenza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Potenza for this game.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Potenza has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:20 (averaging 1.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Potenza against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	8	6	1	1	21:11	10	19
7	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
27.09.26	Barletta - Potenza	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Potenza - Cavese	4:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bari - Potenza	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Salernitana - Potenza	4:2 ✺
05.09.26	Potenza - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWTLW
- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
26.09.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Altamura - Picerno	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Picerno - Catania	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Picerno - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.26	Picerno - Potenza	2:0
21.09.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
02.03.25	Potenza - Picerno	2:2
21.10.24	Picerno - Potenza	1:1
18.03.24	Potenza - Picerno	1:0
13.11.23	Picerno - Potenza	3:1

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