The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casertana 47.4%
Draw 29.1%
Picerno 23.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.3%
27.1%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
28.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Picerno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Casertana - Picerno Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Picerno (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Picerno (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 4. Kontek I. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 8. Proia F. 9. Kallon Y. 16. Pezzella S. 18. Oukhadda S. 20. Bentivegna A. 21. Girelli S. 25. Toscano M. 90. Casarotto M.
16. Marcone R. (G) 20. Gemignani A. 3. Bellodi G. 26. Bassoli A. 97. Rillo F. 27. Baldassin L. 44. Franco D. 30. Bianchi S. 17. Guadagni G. 90. Abreu L. 93. Kanoute M.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 13. Bacchetti L. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 10. Leone K. 80. Luca S. 99. Saco C. 22. Vilardi A. (G)
33. Bocic M. 77. Cardoni K. 9. Coppola G. 29. Del Fabro D. 25. Djibril M. 11. Esposito E. 4. Frison F. 49. Pecci F. (G) 63. Pistolesi F. 99. Pugliese S. 1. Summa E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Kontek I. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Abreu L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Oukhadda S. 🟨,
60', Bianchi S. ↓, Pugliese S. ↑,
61', Rillo F. ↓, Pistolesi F. ↑,
68', Kallon Y. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
72', Kanoute M. ↓, Cardoni K. ↑,
72', Guadagni G. ↓, Esposito E. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Casarotto M. ⚽,
79', Franco D. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
84', Bentivegna A. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
86', Pistolesi F. 🟨,
86', Marcone R. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+5', Pezzella S. ↓, Bacchetti L. ↑,
90+6', Proia F. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 2.
Casertana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Picerno is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Picerno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Casertana is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Italy
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De Lucia V. (G) 
Kontek I. 
Llano Massa M. T. 
Kallon Y. 
Oukhadda S. 
Abreu L. 
Kanoute M. 
Saco C. 
Bocic M. 
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