Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio (Picerno)

Referee: Striamo S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Picerno		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.20	2.75
	2.45	3.15	2.65	Watch
	2.66	3.3	2.7
	2.34	3.29	2.82	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.65
	2.69	3.16	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.36)	3.2 ↓ (3.22)	2.69 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Picerno
37%

Draw
28.8%

Audace Cerignola
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.3%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Picerno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Picerno than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Picerno - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 15. Tolovan R. 29. Del Fabro D. 4. Bellodi G. 30. Gemignani A. 8. Virgilio P. 44. Franco D. 16. Bianchi S. 7. Kanoute M. 90. Abreu L. (C) 99. Pugliese S.	22. Viola A. (G) 44. Miranda K. 23. Gasbarro A. (C) 55. Cocorocchio M. 27. Boccadamo A. 68. Sellaf M. 58. Cretella C. 4. Vitale G. 33. Perlingieri M. 10. D'Orazio L. 9. Gambale D.
Substitutes
72. Coppola G. 22. Cortese S. (G) 10. Maiorino P. 21. Maselli S. 17. Nocerino L. 70. Oliviero A. 12. Pecci F. (G) 2. Perri M. 19. Pistolesi F. 23. Rillo F. 92. Scravaglieri M.	21. Casarosa M. 45. Cilenti A. 18. Guaragna C. 19. Iorio A. 2. Kurti A. 5. Martinelli L. 73. Meli M. 20. Nanula M. 14. Padula C. 77. Pinotti M. 24. Romano A. 37. Silvestro A. 1. Vailati A. (G) 7. Vinciguerra A. 11. Volpe G.
Coaches
De Luca C.	Catalano R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Pugliese S. ⚽, Gemignani A. (A),
20', Virgilio P. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Kanoute M. ⚽, Virgilio P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Kanoute M. ↓, Oliviero A. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Perlingieri M. ⚽,
53', Bianchi S. 🟨,
56', Boccadamo A. 🟨,
63', Sellaf M. 🟨,
64', Boccadamo A. ↓, Silvestro A. ↑,
64', D'Orazio L. ↓, Vinciguerra A. ↑,
68', Bianchi S. ↓, Coppola G. ↑,
73', Vitale G. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
73', Perlingieri M. ↓, Padula C. ↑,
78', Abreu L. 🟨,
79', Padula C. 🟨,
79', Miranda K. 🟨,
83', Pugliese S. 🟨,
85', Pugliese S. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
85', Franco D. ↓, Maselli S. ↑,
89', Sellaf M. ↓, Meli M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Picerno won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Picerno (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Audace Cerignola has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Picerno may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Picerno has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:13 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Picerno against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Picerno	8	4	0	4	16:15	1	12
9	Audace Cerignola	8	3	2	3	11:7	4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Audace Cerignola - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Picerno ASD
Italian Serie C Group C
19.09.26	Altamura - Picerno	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Picerno - Catania	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	Picerno - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Bari - Picerno	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
19.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Casertana	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Casarano - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Audace Cerignola - Giugliano	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Cavese - Audace Cerignola	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
03.01.26	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	1:1
25.08.25	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	2:2
09.03.25	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	0:0
26.10.24	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	2:1
07.04.24	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:1
03.12.23	Audace Cerignola - Picerno	0:1
15.03.23	Picerno - Audace Cerignola	2:0

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