Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 26

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Pilica Białobrzegi		Pelikan Łowicz

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.9	1.63
	3.86	3.78	1.71
	3.86	3.78	1.71
	4.21	3.85	1.71	Watch
	4.1	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.25)	3.86 ↓ (3.9)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pilica Białobrzegi
22.4%

Draw
23.3%

Pelikan Łowicz
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

23.4%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

22.5%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pilica Białobrzegi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Pelikan Łowicz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelikan Łowicz than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Soltysinski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, Kazimierczak A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Pilica Białobrzegi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pelikan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Pelikan is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pilica Białobrzegi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Pilica Białobrzegi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.04.24	Legia II - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Olimpia Zambrów	0:5 ✺
30.03.24	GKS Bełchatów - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Pilica Białobrzegi - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Legionovia Legionowo - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- Pelikan Łowicz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.04.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Mławianka Mława - Pelikan Łowicz	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Concordia Elbląg	8:0 ✺
22.03.24	Broń Radom - Pelikan Łowicz	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Pelikan Łowicz - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.09.23	Pelikan Łowicz - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:1
25.03.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0
21.08.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:2
10.04.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Pilica Białobrzegi	4:0
04.09.21	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pelikan Łowicz	1:1

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