Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 21

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Pirata		Alfonso Ugarte de Puno

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.58	3.24	2.25
	2.6	3.25	2.4
	2.71	3.45	2.34
	2.65	3.5	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.23)	3.32 ↓ (3.42)	2.33 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirata
34.2%

Draw
27.1%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.8%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.5%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pirata's form might have worsened.

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfonso Ugarte de Puno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Pirata - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pirata will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirata: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Franco E. (G) 44. Barreda J. 14. Colchado L. 6. Kambou H. 4. Leon F. 10. Lopez D. 5. Peralta M. 13. Quevedo P. 7. Sanguinetti F. 22. Sebben M. 18. Villalobos J.	22. Castellanos G. (G) 59. Ayovi W. 11. Cuero J. 96. Lopez E. 27. Paladines B. 20. Paye E. 3. Pretel W. 10. Quiroz A. 32. Suclupe M. 2. Talavera I. 13. Vernal G.

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 and 9).

Recent matches Pirata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfonso Ugarte has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pirata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirata won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
08.08.23	Pirata - Carlos Stein	2:2 ✺
02.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Pirata	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Juan Aurich - Pirata	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Pirata - Unión Huaral	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Pirata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TLTWL
- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
10.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Los Chankas - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	3:1 ✺
26.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	3:0
07.08.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Pirata	2:1
07.05.22	Pirata - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	0:1

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