Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Championship Group - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Max Augustín (Iquitos)


	Comerciantes Belén		Pirata

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	9
	1.28	4.75	9.5
	1.28	4.57	8.11
	1.32	4.89	9.94
	1.27	4.9	9.55
	1.28	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.45)	4.77 ↑ (4.1)	9.35 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
71.1%

Draw
19.1%

Pirata
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

22.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Comerciantes Belén's performance.

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pirata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Belén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pirata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Comerciantes Belén - Pirata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Silva J. (G) 22. Catashunga J. 28. Chipao R. (C) 24. Flores L. 20. Herrera Joel 10. Lugo K. 5. Pinedo D. 19. Reategui P. 33. Valdeblanquez J. 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.	12. Izaguirre P. (G) 9. Almircar Rai C. C. 13. Diaz L. 3. Diez Canseco P. 17. Fernandez F. 5. Hoyos H. (C) 27. Lasso C. 22. Peralta M. 14. Quiroz G. 26. Santos S. 32. Suclupe M.
Substitutes
11. Cenepo G. 6. Davila I. 13. Gadea J. 27. Lopez J. 1. Ramirez B. (G) 4. Saffadi D. 7. Sanchez D. 15. Santillan I. 14. Vasquez M.	23. Butron F. 7. Dominguez A. 15. Gadea A. 8. Hidalgo S. 74. Lozada J. (G) 21. Lozano T. 19. Ramirez Duarte P. A. 20. Robles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Hoyos H. 🟨,
45', Flores L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Flores L. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
46', Peralta M. ↓, Ramirez Duarte P. A. ↑,
46', Lasso C. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Zambrano J. ⚽,
58', Almircar Rai C. C. ↓, Butron F. ↑,
70', Ramirez Duarte P. A. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
70', Zambrano J. ↓, Saffadi D. ↑,
71', Reategui P. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
78', Herrera Joel ↓, Santillan I. ↑,
81', Quiroz G. ↓, Robles R. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Hoyos H. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
07.09.24	Juan Pablo II College - Comerciantes Belén	3:2 ✺
01.09.24	Comerciantes Belén - Cantolao	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Comerciantes Belén - San Marcos	5:0 ✺
18.08.24	Pirata - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWT
- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
08.09.24	Pirata - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Pirata - San Marcos	1:0 ✺
27.08.24	Cantolao - Pirata	2:2 ✺
21.08.24	Juan Pablo II College - Pirata	2:1 ✺
18.08.24	Pirata - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.08.24	Pirata - Comerciantes Belén	1:1
16.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Pirata	2:0
22.04.23	Pirata - Comerciantes Belén	1:0

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