Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday


	Comerciantes Belén		Alfonso Ugarte de Puno

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.25	3.75
	1.75	3.32	4.01
	1.78	3.2	4.2
	1.79	3.48	4.2
	1.8	3.4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.78)	3.34 ↑ (3.3)	3.98 ↓ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Belén
50.3%

Draw
27%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.2%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

23.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Comerciantes Belén that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Comerciantes Belén - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Comerciantes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vasquez E. (G) 28. Chipao R. 27. Cortes Armelo M. 26. Guevara R. 5. Hoyos H. (C) 23. Reategui P. 12. Salas L. 25. Silva S. 13. Valdeblanquez J. 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.	23. Castellanos G. (G) 59. Ayovi W. 16. Davila C. 8. Lara F. 77. Palomino K. 0. Paye E. 3. Pretel W. 10. Quiroz A. 32. Suclupe M. 2. Talavera I. 13. Vernal G.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

Recent matches Comerciantes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfonso Ugarte is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Comerciantes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Comerciantes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
03.08.23	Ayacucho - Comerciantes Belén	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Carlos Stein	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Pirata	2:0 ✺
09.07.23	Unión Huaral - Comerciantes Belén	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWT
- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
03.08.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Los Chankas - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	3:1 ✺
26.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:0 ✺
12.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
18.05.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Belén	2:0

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