Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 16

Date: 26 July 2023, Wednesday


	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno		Comerciantes Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.01	3.34	2.82
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.08	3.32	3.28	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.47)	3.3 ↑ (3.13)	3.06 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
43.5%

Draw
27.2%

Comerciantes Unidos
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.8%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alfonso Ugarte de Puno's performance.

Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comerciantes Unidos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alfonso Ugarte de Puno that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Castellanos G. (G) 59. Ayovi W. 11. Cuero J. 16. Davila C. 30. Gutierrez A. 77. Palomino K. 20. Paye E. 10. Quiroz A. 32. Suclupe M. 2. Talavera I. (C) 19. Timana H.	21. Campos D. (G) 11. Aponza Y. 30. Bazan R. 7. Becerra P. 2. Canova J. 22. Carbonel V. 13. Cuneo O. 24. Goyoneche P. 29. Lopez J. 3. Mena J. (C) 5. Peral P.
Substitutes
7. Aguirre L. 25. Caceres R. (G) 27. Lara F. 96. Lopez E. . Paladines B. 3. Pretel W. 13. Vernal G.	1. Anderson R. (G) 18. Coronel J. 25. Lopez K. 23. Magallanes P. 28. Mendoza J. 17. Saavedra C. 32. Salinas R.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Apertura: )).

Recent matches Alfonso Ugarte is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Comerciantes Unidos in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Comerciantes Unidos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alfonso Ugarte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfonso Ugarte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
19.07.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:0 ✺
12.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Deportivo Llacuabamba	4:0 ✺
02.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Santos	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Juan Aurich - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	0:0 ✺
20.06.23	Ayacucho - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTTT
- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 2
19.07.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Ayacucho	3:1 ✺
11.07.23	Carlos Stein - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
04.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Unidos	0:1 ✺
26.06.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Pirata	5:0 ✺
19.06.23	Unión Huaral - Comerciantes Unidos	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
30.04.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:1
03.07.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0

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