Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Hristo Botev (Blagoevgrad)

Referee: Andreev I. (Bul)


	Pirin Blagoevgrad		Botev Vratsa

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.31	3.15	3.37
	2.24	3.16	3.48
	2.22	3.21	3.26	Watch
	2.13	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.11)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirin Blagoevgrad
42.1%

Draw
29.5%

Botev Vratsa
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.6%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirin Blagoevgrad: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kovalov M. (G) 18. Luzayadio A. 28. Jagodinskis V. 8. Boyanov L. 6. Yordanov A. 77. Diagne M. 11. Tasev I. 73. Benguzov V. (C) 4. Abou A. 14. Polonskyi D. 19. Komano H.	76. Kostov K. (G) 23. Mendoza B. 29. Bachev M. S. 27. Messi 13. Achkov M. 24. Smolenski M. 77. Velev S. 15. Marinov M. 8. Serber K. 21. Traore B. 19. Perea B. (C)
Substitutes
7. Donchev A. 38. Dyulgerov A. 20. Esalo B. 16. Georgiev M. 13. Georiev E. 1. Kirev M. (G) 29. Kostov S. 83. Popadiyn H. 27. Varbanov G.	18. Barbosa D. 28. Eduardo Kunde 9. Genov D. 10. Georgiev S. 17. Ivaylov Ch. 14. Majouga M. 11. N'diaye L. 88. Neshkov I. 1. Vasilev L. (G)
Coaches
Babych O.	Yanev H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Tasev I. ⚽,
23', Mendoza B. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Achkov M. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Boyanov L. ↓, Varbanov G. ↑,
46', Marinov M. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
49', 1 - 2, Smolenski M. ⚽,
54', Mendoza B. 🟥,
57', Traore B. ↓, Georgiev S. ↑,
64', Luzayadio A. ↓, Donchev A. ↑,
70', Achkov M. 🟨,
73', Benguzov V. ↓, Georiev E. ↑,
73', Diagne M. ↓, Esalo B. ↑,
77', Yordanov A. 🟨,
83', Serber K. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
87', Achkov M. ↓, Ivaylov Ch. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+12', Kostov K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Pirin Blagoevgrad will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirin Blagoevgrad won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.04.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Cherno More Varna	0:0 ✺
12.04.24	CSKA Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Slavia Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0 ✺
29.03.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.8 TWLTW
- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.04.24	Botev Vratsa - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
12.04.24	Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
04.04.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:0 ✺
30.03.24	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.02.24	Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:2
Bulgarian Cup
18.11.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ET
Bulgarian Parva Liga
25.08.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	0:1
27.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:0
19.03.23	Botev Vratsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:0
02.09.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:1
21.05.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	3:5

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