Match Info

Parva liga - Round 26

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Hristo Botev Stadium (Vraca)

Referee: Stanchev V. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 6


	Botev Vratsa		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.7
	2.01	3.2	3.7	Watch
	1.96	3.37	3.86	Watch
	2	3.28	3.9	Watch
	2.01	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	3.76 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Vratsa
46.7%

Draw
28.5%

Hebar Pazardzhik
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

22.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botev Vratsa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Hebar will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Vratsa: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Evtimov D. (G) 2. Ait Allal H. 4. Kabashi A. 27. Diabate S. 32. Dichev M. 6. Suarez D. 26. Boukassi M. 7. Papazov M. 19. Perea B. 98. Ewerton Potiguar 9. Genov D. (C)	97. Rosa M. (G) 20. Petrovic M. 29. Zebic M. 33. Tsonkov S. 27. Mazan R. (C) 18. Cancola D. 77. N'Zi J. 17. Budinov I. 88. Rusinov I. 70. Dunnwald-Turan K. 10. Makni N.
Substitutes
14. Bachev P. 34. Barrios F. (G) 70. Georgiev D. 10. Georgiev S. 24. Smolenski M. 22. Stoyanov A. 21. Traore B. 3. Tsenov P. 77. Yovov K.	11. Guermouche Y. 14. Kondrakov D. 98. Markelo N. 44. Nikolaev N. 1. Paskulov D. (G) 2. Pavlek D. 21. Penchev B. 15. Tsoumou J. 9. Ushagelov T.
Coaches
Yanev H.	Vutsov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cancola D. 🟨,
28', Makni N. 🟨,
33', N'Zi J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Kondrakov D. ↑,
52', Ait Allal H. 🟨,
56', Cancola D. ↓, Markelo N. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Perea B. (Pen),
61', Kabashi A. 🟨,
64', Petrovic M. 🟨,
74', Papazov M. ↓, Georgiev S. ↑,
75', Perea B. 🟨,
78', Rusinov I. ↓, Tsoumou J. ↑,
78', Budinov I. ↓, Guermouche Y. ↑,
79', Petrovic M. ↓, Nikolaev N. ↑,
80', Evtimov D. 🟨,
81', Guermouche Y. 🟨,
82', 🟨,
83', Genov D. ↓, Georgiev D. ↑,
84', N'Zi J. 🟨,
86', Georgiev S. 🟨,
90+3', Boukassi M. ↓, Bachev P. ↑,
90+3', Ewerton Potiguar ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Botev Vratsa is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

Hebar is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botev Vratsa won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Botev Vratsa will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Botev Vratsa: Bachev M. S. (Toe Injury) Marinov M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Botev Vratsa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.4:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Botev Vratsa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.03.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
07.03.25	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa	1:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
25.02.25	Botev Vratsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.02.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.03.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	6:1 ✺
02.03.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Cherno More Varna	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
15.02.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Levski Sofia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.10.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa	1:1
13.05.24	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0
30.03.24	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2
27.09.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa	1:1
31.05.23	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:3
13.04.23	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:0
16.09.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Vratsa	0:2

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