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Current Win Probability
Botev Plovdiv 54.6%
Draw 27.4%
Botev Vratsa 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
29.4%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
29%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botev Plovdiv's performance.
Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botev Vratsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botev Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botev Vratsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.3%
13.3%
13.3%
Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Botev Plovdiv: 50.9% โ 95.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botev Plovdiv will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Naumov D. (G) 17. Minkov N. 87. Petrov S. 19. Conte A. 41. Tindano Z. 45. Martinho da Silva E. 28. Jocu H. 10. Rodriguez E. 8. Nedelev T. (C) 90. Kalu S. 30. Mascote
94. Orlinov M. (G) 22. Stoychev M. 36. Stoev M. 55. Jovicic D. 44. Goranov I. (C) 33. Malinov K. 24. Smolenski M. 12. Yurukov I. 21. Tsonev R. 17. Gallegos J. 79. Petkov M.
Substitutes
27. Hein B. 7. Iliev N. 22. Kwateng E. 77. Lucas Araujo 11. Pedro Igor 1. Slavkov H. (G) 4. Soldo N. 13. Tsonov S. 42. Videv I.
19. Bornosuzov Y. 88. Boyanov L. 9. Genov D. 81. Hadji K. 97. Naydenov V. 20. Ntelo M. 3. Sanyang S. 8. Stoyanov A. 1. Vasilev L. (G)
Coaches
Baltanov L.
Simov T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Martinho da Silva E. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Petkov M. ⚽,
31', Martinho da Silva E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Tindano Z. ↓, Hein B. ↑,
60', Martinho da Silva E. ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
60', Rodriguez E. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Smolenski M. ⚽,
75', Hein B. ↓, Kwateng E. ↑,
76', Smolenski M. ↓, Sanyang S. ↑,
76', Gallegos J. ↓, Naydenov V. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Sanyang S. ⚽,
85', Petkov M. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
85', Tsonev R. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
90', Yurukov I. ↓, Boyanov L. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 5.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Botev Plovdiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Botev Plovdiv is considered a favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:19. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Botev Plovdiv won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:6. (average 2.7:0.7).
Bulgaria
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Naumov D. (G) 
Conte A. 
Tindano Z. 
Martinho da Silva E. 
Jocu H. 
Rodriguez E. 
Kalu S. 
Mascote 
Jovicic D. 
Gallegos J. 
Hein B. 
Kwateng E. 
Soldo N. 
Hadji K. 
Ntelo M. 
Sanyang S. 
