The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botev Plovdiv 58.1%
Draw 23.8%
Botev Vratsa 18%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.2%
21.7%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.8%
20.8%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botev Plovdiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Botev Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Naumov D. (G) 44. Ukaki E. 22. Senger M. 20. Awany T. 15. Kostov B. 17. Milanov G. 14. Algarra C. 66. Meotti C. 11. Shopov S. 88. Chimezie W. 30. Mascote
94. Orlinov M. (G) 25. Buchkov A. 36. Stoev M. 4. Goranov I. 3. Sanyang S. 7. Tsonev R. 12. Yurukov I. 79. Petkov M. 10. Gallegos J. 24. Smolenski M. 90. Gigov F.
Substitutes
10. Chandarov A. 27. Hein B. 28. Jocu H. 90. Kalu S. 87. Petrov S. 19. Rodrigues M. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 4. Soldo N. 6. Videv I. 16. Vidolov V.
88. Boyanov L. 21. Dimitrov M. 9. Genov D. 6. Kichukov A. 17. Mechev S. 97. Naydenov V. 8. Stoyanov A. 98. Vasilev L. (G)
Coaches
Genchev S.
Simov T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Yurukov I. 🟨,
16', Buchkov A. 🟨,
16', Milanov G. (Penalty Awarded),
17', 1 - 0, Mascote ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Buchkov A. ↓, Naydenov V. ↑,
58', Naydenov V. 🟨,
63', Shopov S. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
63', Milanov G. ↓, Jocu H. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Meotti C. ⚽, Ukaki E. (A),
74', Meotti C. ↓, Videv I. ↑,
74', Chimezie W. ↓, Vidolov V. ↑,
74', Gigov F. ↓, Kichukov A. ↑,
74', Gallegos J. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
79', Goranov I. 🟨,
82', Genov D. 🟨,
83', Yurukov I. ↓, Dimitrov M. ↑,
90+3', Sanyang S. 🟨,
90+4', Ukaki E. ↓, Hein B. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 3.
Botev Plovdiv is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Botev Vratsa has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Botev Plovdiv could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Botev Plovdiv is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Botev Plovdiv in today's match, at odds of 1.52.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Botev Plovdiv has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:23 (averaging 2.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Botev Plovdiv against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 25:9 goals (averaging 2.5:0.9 per game).