Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday

Location: Hristo Botev (Blagoevgrad)

Referee: Todorov S. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Pirin Blagoevgrad		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.02	3.1	3.5
	2.17	3.15	3.2
	2.28	3.1	3.53
	2.15	2.9	3.4
	2.1	3.18	3.3	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)	3.12 ↓ (3.38)	3.35 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirin Blagoevgrad
42.8%

Draw
29.6%

Septemvri Sofia
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirin Blagoevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	27.8%	11.1%

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Septemvri Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pirin Blagoevgrad: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group) and 13 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 1.

Pirin Blagoevgrad has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Septemvri Sofia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pirin Blagoevgrad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirin Blagoevgrad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.10.22	Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:1 ✺
07.10.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0 ✺
03.10.22	CSKA Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.09.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Bregalnica Štip	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.09.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.10.22	Septemvri Sofia - Levski Sofia	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Slavia Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
30.09.22	Septemvri Sofia - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.09.22	CSKA Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.09.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.06.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Septemvri Sofia	1:3
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
23.11.20	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:2
21.02.20	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Septemvri Sofia	1:4
05.08.19	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0
Club Friendly
13.10.18	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	7:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.11.17	Septemvri Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0
22.07.17	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Septemvri Sofia	0:1

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