Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - ROUND 1

Date: 14 July 2023, Friday

Location: Hristo Botev (Blagoevgrad)

Referee: Chinkov V. (Bul)


	Pirin Blagoevgrad		Beroe Stara Zagora

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.16	3	3.3
	2.33	3.17	3.34
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.29	3.2	3.24
	2.18	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.53)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.2 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pirin Blagoevgrad
41.2%

Draw
29.8%

Beroe Stara Zagora
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29.3%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirin Blagoevgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	20.5%	59%

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Pirin Blagoevgrad will win (votes: 8 - 20.5%). Beroe will win (votes: 23 - 59%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beroe: 43.6% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kovalov M. (G) 31. Buchkov A. 29. Bachev M. S. 38. Dyulgerov A. (C) 83. Popadiyn H. 77. Pepsi G. 8. Semeniv D. 11. Tasev I. 10. Kondrakov D. 7. Medved V. 17. Tyutyukov B.	23. Garcia Accinelli R. (G) 2. Cascardo 5. Squadrone L. 14. Valkov V. 44. Govea J. 19. Vasilev V. 16. Mechev S. (C) 8. Ceijas T. 77. Penchev B. 21. Triboulet V. 9. Cevallos Mike
Substitutes
33. Aleksandrov S. 4. Batas A. 1. Kirev M. (G) 25. Kostov I. 13. Laskov V. 18. Minkov V. 16. Pedinsky A. 30. Todorov L.	12. Altonov D. 18. Deyanov D. 15. Espinoza E. 10. Gavrilov S. 7. Petrov A. 6. Ramos Mingo F. 11. Touma G. 17. Yordanov D. 98. Yordanov T.
Coaches
Mitrevski R.	Aragolaza G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Beroe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Pirin Blagoevgrad won 0 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Pirin Blagoevgrad won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Club Friendly
05.07.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Arda Kardzhali	0:1 ✺
25.06.23	Levski Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
05.06.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Spartak Varna	2:0 ✺
31.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWTW
- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.06.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Sportist Svoge	1:0 ✺
05.06.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:1 ✺
31.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1 ✺
25.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
22.05.23	Botev Vratsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.05.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1
30.04.23	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:0
07.10.22	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0
19.11.21	Beroe Stara Zagora - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1
02.08.21	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:3
Bulgarian Cup
21.10.20	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:4
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.11.17	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:1

Upcoming Matches