Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Hristo Botev (Blagoevgrad)


	Pirin Blagoevgrad		Sportist Svoge

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.85	6.3
	1.5	3.67	5.69
	1.50	3.58	6.77	Watch
	1.5	3.65	6.21	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	6.09 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pirin Blagoevgrad
60.3%

Draw
24.8%

Sportist Svoge
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

20.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pirin Blagoevgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sportist Svoge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirin Blagoevgrad than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pirin Blagoevgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportist Svoge than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportist Svoge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pirin Blagoevgrad - Sportist Svoge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pirin Blagoevgrad (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Svoge (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pirin Blagoevgrad (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Svoge (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Kostov K. (G) 6. Bandev N. 14. Bliznakov A. 5. Bodurov N. 15. Buchev D. 17. Dinev Z. 38. Dyulgerov A. 4. Ivanov B. 10. Ivov M. 18. Malinov B. 9. Vangelov M.	33. Debarliev P. (G) 20. Balakov M. 21. Bastunov A. . Bua 99. Dimitrov V. 16. Georgiev S. 18. Gogov V. 73. Monteiro K. 79. Moore L. . Todorov A. 11. Yuri Sousa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
80', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Pirin Blagoevgrad is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pirin Blagoevgrad won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pirin Blagoevgrad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.11.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Pirin Blagoevgrad	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Pirin Blagoevgrad	4:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.10.25	Spartak Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.10.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLW
- Sportist Svoge
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.11.25	Sportist Svoge - Belasitsa Petrich	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
29.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Septemvri Sofia	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.10.25	Dunav Ruse - Sportist Svoge	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Sportist Svoge - Vihren Sandanski	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	CSKA Sofia II - Sportist Svoge	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.12.24	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Sportist Svoge	1:0
20.07.24	Sportist Svoge - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1
14.03.21	Sportist Svoge - Pirin Blagoevgrad	1:1
12.09.20	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Sportist Svoge	4:0

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