Match Info

Serie A - Round 11

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Pisa		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.32	2.98	3.55	Watch
	2.35	3.06	3.68
	2.26	3.19	3.37	Watch
	2.41	3.09	3.63
	2.26	3.19	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.26)	3.1 ↓ (3.19)	3.51 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
41.5%

Draw
31%

Cremonese
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.7%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Cremonese aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	42.9%	19%

Pisa - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 16 - 38.1%). Cremonese will win (votes: 8 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 57.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Cremonese (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH -0.25 - Pisa (1.93) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Cremonese (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Pisa (votes: 9 - 45%). Cremonese (votes: 6 - 30%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Semper A. (G) 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 33. Calabresi A. 15. Toure I. 20. Aebischer M. 14. Akinsanmiro E. 11. Cuadrado J. 21. Vural I. 32. Moreo S. 18. Nzola M.	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 4. Barbieri T. 32. Payero M. 38. Bondo W. 27. Vandeputte J. 30. Faye M. 20. Vazquez F. 10. Vardy J.
Substitutes
39. Albiol R. 3. Angori S. 94. Bonfanti G. 16. Buffon L. 26. Coppola F. 44. Denoon D. 8. Hojholt M. 7. Leris M. 99. Lorran 6. Marin M. 9. Meister H. 12. Nicolas Andrade (G) 36. Piccinini G. 22. Scuffet S. (G) 10. Tramoni M.	90. Bonazzoli F. 23. Ceccherini F. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 69. Nava L. (G) 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M.
Coaches
Gilardino A.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Aebischer M. 🟨,
39', Faye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cuadrado J. ↓, Leris M. ↑,
48', Vural I. 🟨,
67', Moreo S. ↓, Tramoni M. ↑,
67', Vural I. ↓, Marin M. ↑,
68', Akinsanmiro E. ↓, Piccinini G. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Toure I. ⚽, Tramoni M. (A),
77', Payero M. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
77', Faye M. ↓, Bonazzoli F. ↑,
77', Vazquez F. ↓, Floriani R. ↑,
78', Terracciano F. 🟨,
83', Marin M. 🟨,
90+1', Terracciano F. ↓, Johnsen D. ↑,
90+1', Nzola M. ↓, Meister H. ↑,
90+5', Piccinini G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pisa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Pisa: Mateus Lusuardi (Knee Injury) Stengs C. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Thigh Injury) Grassi A. (Muscle Injury) Moumbagna F. (Thigh Injury) Pezzella G. (Contusion) Sanabria A. (Calf Injury) Zerbin A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Pisa: Esteves T. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pisa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 2.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pisa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Torino - Pisa	2:2 ✺
30.10.25	Pisa - Lazio	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Milan - Pisa	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pisa - Verona	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Bologna - Pisa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 TTTTL
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
01.11.25	Cremonese - Juventus	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Genoa - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cremonese - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Cremonese - Udinese	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Inter Milan - Cremonese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Pisa - Cremonese	2:1
03.11.24	Cremonese - Pisa	1:3
01.05.24	Cremonese - Pisa	2:1
02.12.23	Pisa - Cremonese	0:0
13.03.22	Pisa - Cremonese	3:0
28.10.21	Cremonese - Pisa	1:1
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Pisa - Cremonese	1:1

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