Match Info

Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fiorentina		Pisa

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.20	7.00
	1.44	4.50	6.00
	1.35	5.10	8.50	Watch
	1.47	4.50	7.64
	1.32	5.21	9.61	Watch
	1.48	4.15	6.95
	1.47	4.22	7.40
	1.41	4.40	6.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)	4.54 ↑ (4.51)	7.41 ↑ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
66.4%

Draw
20.8%

Pisa
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

21.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

22.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Pisa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Fiorentina - Pisa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Pisa (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Fiorentina (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pisa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 17. Joao Mario 3. Dragusin R. 5. Pongracic M. 21. Valdepenas V. 27. Ndour C. 42. Inao Oulai C. 4. Brescianini M. 30. Mastantuono F. 32. Pellegrino M. 29. Gnonto W.	1. Scuffet S. (G) 13. Primasso A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. (C) 5. Canestrelli S. 72. Zanon S. 36. Piccinini G. 14. Loyola F. 7. Leris M. 11. Ferrah I. 17. Rao E. 8. Pittarello F.
Substitutes
23. Beto 53. Christensen O. (G) 2. Dodo 44. Fagioli N. 20. Jimenez A. 19. Lezzerini L. (G) 25. Njie A. 28. Pote 6. Ranieri L. 33. Viery	3. Angori S. 33. Calabresi A. 98. Confente A. (G) 26. Coppola F. 29. Correia O. 44. Denoon D. 19. Esteves T. 24. Frosali J. 55. Leone G. 22. Loria L. (G) 32. Moreo S. 37. Petagna A. 10. Tramoni M. 21. Vural I.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
35', Loyola F. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Pellegrino M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Dragusin R. ↓, Viery ↑,
52', Canestrelli S. 🟨,
55', Valdepenas V. 🟨,
59', Zanon S. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
59', Rao E. ↓, Moreo S. ↑,
59', Pittarello F. ↓, Angori S. ↑,
60', Brescianini M. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
60', Mastantuono F. ↓, Pote ↑,
64', Primasso A. ↓, Coppola F. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Gnonto W. ⚽, Njie A. (A),
72', Valdepenas V. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
75', Leris M. ↓, Denoon D. ↑,
83', Pellegrino M. ↓, Beto ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Pote ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Pisa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fiorentina is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
11.09.26	Venezia - Fiorentina	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Fiorentina - Torino	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Fiorentina - Frosinone	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Roma - Fiorentina	4:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Fiorentina - Benevento	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLW
- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
11.09.26	Pisa - Virtus Entella	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Juve Stabia - Pisa	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Pisa - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pisa - Padova	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Pisa - Empoli	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.02.26	Fiorentina - Pisa	1:0
28.09.25	Pisa - Fiorentina	0:0

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