Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Pistoiese		Forlì

	1	X	2
	6	3.75	1.46
	6.06	3.81	1.46
	6.48	3.88	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.18 ↑ (4.39)	3.81 ↑ (3.36)	1.46 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
14.6%

Draw
23.6%

Forlì
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

27%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.8%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pistoiese's form might have worsened.

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Forlì's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pistoiese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Forlì, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Pistoiese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Forlì is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Forlì is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.02.24	Mezzolara - Pistoiese	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Pistoiese - Sammaurese	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	AC Carpi - Pistoiese	3:2 ✺
21.01.24	Pistoiese - Aglianese	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Victor San Marino - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Forli FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.02.24	Forlì - Imolese	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Borgo San Donnino - Forlì	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Forlì - Sangiuliano City Nova	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Sammaurese - Forlì	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Forlì - Progresso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
22.10.23	Forlì - Pistoiese	1:0
26.02.23	Forlì - Pistoiese	2:3
23.10.22	Pistoiese - Forlì	0:2
Italian Serie C Group B
22.02.15	Pistoiese - Forlì	2:1
04.10.14	Forlì - Pistoiese	1:0

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