Match Info

Date: 7 April 2021, Wednesday


	Pistoiese		Juventus U23

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.37
	2.95	2.95	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.2
	2.85	2.85	2.43
	2.98	3.09	2.5
	2.8	3	2.55
	2.91	3.1	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	3.01 ↓ (3.16)	2.39 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
31.3%

Draw
30.4%

Juventus U23
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.3%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

21.4%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventus U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Juventus U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 7 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Pistoiese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Juventus U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.21	Livorno - Pistoiese	5:0 ✺
31.03.21	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Pistoiese - Lecco	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Pistoiese - Pro Vercelli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.21	Alessandria - Juventus U23	2:0 ✺
29.03.21	Pro Patria - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
25.03.21	Juventus U23 - Pergolettese	2:4 ✺
07.03.21	Grosseto - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Juventus U23 - Novara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
22.11.20	Juventus U23 - Pistoiese	3:2
10.11.19	Juventus U23 - Pistoiese	0:2
30.03.19	Juventus U23 - Pistoiese	0:4
02.12.18	Pistoiese - Juventus U23	0:1

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