Match Info

Date: 27 March 2021, Saturday


	Pistoiese		Lecco

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.87	2.2
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.1	2.85	2.3
	3.25	2.8	2.22
	3.52	2.92	2.3
	3.1	3	2.35
	3.24	3.04	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.12)	2.9 ↓ (2.9)	2.28 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pistoiese
28.2%

Draw
31.6%

Lecco
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

31.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.1%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lecco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pistoiese - Lecco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Pistoiese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lecco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pistoiese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lecco have a series of home games.

Lecco will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Pistoiese - Pro Vercelli	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Pontedera - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Pistoiese - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Pro Sesto - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT
- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
21.03.21	Lecco - Pro Sesto	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Lecco - Grosseto	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Novara - Lecco	3:0 ✺
03.03.21	Lecco - Renate	2:1 ✺
28.02.21	Lecco - Juventus U23	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.12.20	Lecco - Pistoiese	4:1
15.12.19	Pistoiese - Lecco	0:0

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