Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Livorno		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.5
	2	3	3.6
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	2	2.85	3.75
	2.09	3.06	3.91
	1.91	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.01	3.13	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)	3.08 ↓ (3.16)	3.68 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
45.9%

Draw
29.4%

Pistoiese
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Livorno - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Recent matches Livorno is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pistoiese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Livorno will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Livorno won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Livorno won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group A
28.03.21	Livorno - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
21.03.21	Pontedera - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.03.21	Livorno - Grosseto	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Carrarese - Livorno	4:2 ✺
07.03.21	Giana Erminio - Livorno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTLL
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group A
31.03.21	Olbia - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Pistoiese - Lecco	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Lucchese - Pistoiese	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Pistoiese - Pro Vercelli	0:1 ✺
03.03.21	Pontedera - Pistoiese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.12.20	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:0
Club Friendly
25.08.18	Livorno - Pistoiese	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.02.18	Pistoiese - Livorno	1:1
24.09.17	Livorno - Pistoiese	2:0
06.05.17	Pistoiese - Livorno	0:2
18.12.16	Livorno - Pistoiese	3:0

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